Prediction Market Probability That Democrats Have Control Following 2020 Election

Prediction Market Probability That Democrats Have Control Following 2020 Election According to Goldman Sachs, the odds of a “blue wave” in November have risen and could lift the effective S&P 500 tax rate from 18% back to 26%, reducing the 2021 EPS forecast from $170 to $150. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Buybacks

U.S. Buybacks Goldman Sachs expects buybacks to fall by 50% during 2020 compared with 2019 levels, suggesting slower EPS growth and less support for stock prices. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Implied Trailing 12-Month Buybacks

Implied Trailing 12-Month Buybacks Goldman Sachs expects a sharp decline in buybacks in 2020 and 2021, suggesting less support for stock prices and slower EPS growth. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

The SARS Analog – Virus Outbreaks and Global Markets

The SARS Analog – Virus Outbreaks and Global Markets The chart shows the SARS analog (2002 vs. 2020), highlighting the S&P 500 Index, the MSCI China Index, emerging markets vs. U.S. EPS and the CRB Raw Industrials Index. Image: Fidelity Investments

A Weaker U.S. Dollar in 2020?

A Weaker U.S. Dollar in 2020? This chart suggests that the U.S. dollar could decline this year, as long as the Fed keeps pumping money into the banking system. Image: Fidelity Investments

North America Private Equity Assets

North America Private Equity Assets Private equity keeps on growing and now represents an important part of the economy. Image: Financial Times

U.S. Consumer Confidence and CEO Confidence

U.S. Consumer Confidence and CEO Confidence The trade war keeps weighing on CEO confidence, which is near record lows, while consumer confidence has remained relatively strong. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Earnings Estimate Progression

Earnings Estimate Progression This chart shows the earnings estimate progression since 2013. For this year, the consensus estimate of EPS growth is currently around 1.9%, and around 9.7% for 2020. Image: Fidelity Investments

Valuation: Utilities vs. Tech vs. S&P 500

Valuation: Utilities vs. Tech vs. S&P 500 Nice chart showing the valuation of utilities vs. Tech and the S&P 500. Currently, utilities are valued at 19.9x forward EPS, tech at 18.7x, and the S&P 500 at 16.4x Image: Fidelity Investments