MSCI Emerging Markets Index vs. World Semiconductor Sales This great chart suggests that world semiconductor sales lead the MSCI emerging markets index by 3 months. Very interesting chart before investing in emerging market equities. Country weights of the MSCI Emerging Markets Index: 33% China, 13.02% Korea, 11.35% Taiwan. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
The Top 10 Risks to the Global Economy US-China trade conflict, US corporate debt burden, and emerging-markets crisis are the main global risks according to the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU). Image: World Economic Forum
Is The U.S. Economy Slowing Down? The chart below shows that the U.S. economy is slowing down. The U.S.-China trade war and slower global growth are not helping. But as long as there is no recession, slowing down is fine.
Total Global Carbon Emissions (CO2) China, the United States, and India account for almost half the world’s carbon emissions. You may also like “Annual Carbon Emissions in Tons.” Image: Visual Capitalist
International Liquidity by Country – Total Reserves Excluding Gold, U.S. Dollars USA holds $115 billion and China holds over $3 trillion in reserves. Image: howmuch.net
What’s The Risk Of An Earnings Recession in 2019? Maybe Less Than You May Think US-China trade uncertainty is the enemy of growth, and the impact of tariffs will weigh on corporate profits. But it looks like we’ll avert an earnings recession in 2019 if a trade deal with China is reached this summer. Image:…
U.S. Tariff Rates Are Now Higher Than Developed Market Countries, Approaching Emerging Countries The average U.S. tariff rate could increase to 7.7%, close to those of Brazil. You may also like “China is Raising Tariffs Only on the U.S..” Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management
The Progression of World GDP This chart shows the percentage of world GDP by major countries/regions and how China’s GDP has risen steadily over the past few decades. Image: Bank of America Merrill Lynch
US Long-Term Mortgage Rates Decline: 30-Year Average 4.10% & 15-Year Average 3.57% Why US long-term mortgage rates decline? Mortgage costs are influenced by the 10-year Treasury yield which was lower this week, because the trade war between the United States and China pushes investors moving money from stocks to bonds. Bond yields fall as prices rise.…
Has the United States Ever Imported a Recession from a Single Foreign Country? The biggest U.S. trade partners are: China, Canada, Mexico, Japan, Germany, South Korea, United Kingdom and France. So far, the US has never imported a recession from a single foreign country. A Chinese recession would be bad for the U.S. and the…