U.S. Jobless Claims Lead the Unemployment Rate This chart suggests that U.S. jobless claims lead the unemployment rate by 7 months. U.S. initial claims for unemployment fall more than expected to 209,000. Image: Oxford Economics
Economists Never See A Recession Coming This chart shows that economists are not good at predicting U.S. recessions. Image: Bianco Research
Citi Economic Surprise Index vs. EUR/USD Weaker European growth relative to the U.S. could weaken Euro/U.S. Dollar. Image: Credit Suisse
Who Owns Different Countries’ Government Bonds? About 70% of the U.S. national debt is owned by domestic government, institutions investors and the Federal Reserve. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research
Total Number of Governments since 1945 Italy and France have the largest number of governments since 1945, while the U.S. and Luxembourg have the smallest number. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research
Productivity: How Productive is an Hour of Work? An hour’s work in Ireland contributes $102.3 to the economy, while in the U.S., this contribution is on average $72.1 Image: Statista
The Impact of an Inverted Yield Curve Great charts showing that a flat/inverted yield curve implies weaker U.S. GDP growth, lower equity returns, and higher volatility. Image: Pictet Asset Management
Federal Budget Deficit Since 1948 The federal budget deficit is unusually large compared to the state of the U.S. economy. Image: Goldman Sachs
Annual Performance of Gold and the S&P 500 since 1980 One of the advantages of gold is that it is uncorrelated to the U.S. stock market and provides diversification in a portfolio. Image: The Wall Street Journal
Time Between Recent Yield Curve Inversions and Recessions The U.S. 10-Year/3-Month yield spread has inverted before each of the past seven recessions. Image: Bloomberg