Yield Curve vs. Real Fed Funds Rate In modern history, every recession was preceded by an inverted yield curve and high real interest rates. When an inverted yield curve occurs, short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates. It suggests that the long-term economic outlook is poor and that the yields offered by long-term fixed income securities will…
MOVE Index vs. U.S. 10Y-2Y Yield Curve Should investors expect a steeper yield curve and more fixed-income volatility? Image: Variant Perception Research
ETF Flows by Asset Type As the chart shows, investors are finally buying equity ETFs again, but fixed-income remains the champ. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC
Treasury Bond Maven Robert Kessler Warns of Recession Ahead & Where to Take Shelter Robert Kessler is founder and CEO of The Kessler Companies and manager of fixed-income portfolios. He discusses with Consuelo Mack on WealthTrack why a recession is coming.