Search Results for: potential GDP

U.S. Economy Has Prospered While Europe Has Slowed This chart shows how the US economy is strong compared to European countries. And despite full employment, US real GDP should stay above potential GDP. Image: Financial Times

How to Get Inflation? Mainly, inflation comes from excess money supply growth. There is too much money in the system chasing too few goods and services. Nominal GDP = M x V = P x T M = quantity of money V = velocity of circulation of money P = level of prices T =…

How’s the U.S. Economy Doing Now? The real GDP Nowcast relies on soft data such as consumer and business surveys and hard data such as retail sales and industrial production. It forecasts the growth of real GDP. At full employment, GDP returns to the level of potential GDP. If a recession were to occur today,…

Is Trump Right to Criticize Powell? We don’t think so, because: – Interest rates are still near zero in real terms and below real GDP – The rise in Fed rates has very few visible negative effects in the USA – And at full employment, GDP returns to the level of potential GDP

Cumulative Effect of AI Adoption on Productivity Growth The global adoption of AI is expected to significantly boost labor productivity and drive economic growth, potentially leading to substantial increases in GDP. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 2025 Price Target Fundstrat’s Tom Lee forecasts a bullish first half of 2025, with the S&P 500 expected to hit 7,000 by mid-year before falling to 6,600 by year-end, due to potential impacts from tariffs and DOGE on GDP. Image: Fundstrat Global Advisors, LLC

U.S. Federal Debt A potential warning sign for the U.S. economy, as economic growth in Japan and Italy came to a halt after their debt-to-GDP ratios exceeded 100%. Image: Piper Sandler