Trade Policy Uncertainty When trade policy uncertainty peaks, the S&P 500 often posts positive returns. Markets tend to over-discount risks during uncertain periods, and relief rallies are common once worst-case scenarios are avoided or resolved. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Small Cap Stocks – Forward 12-Month Price/Earnings Ratio and S&P 600 Relative to S&P 500 Should investors favor U.S. small-cap stocks, as they trade at a discount relative to the S&P 500? Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
Growth vs. Value – Based Relative Median Price to Forward Earnings Ratio Growth continues to trade above its historical average vs. Value. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
U.S. vs. China Trade Balance and Treasury Holdings China’s Treasuries holdings drop, while the U.S.-China trade balance shrinks very slightly amid the trade war. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research
U.S. Trade Deficit to GDP The chart shows that the U.S. trade deficit as percentage of gross domestic product is still huge, despite the US-China trade war. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research
Most Traded Goods Between U.S. and China Taking a closer look at U.S. exports to China, and China exports to U.S., amid the trade war. Image: howmuch.net
Watch Warren Buffett’s full interview with CNBC’s Becky Quick In this interview, Warren Buffett speaks about rail road, Berkshire Hathaway, economic slowdown, yield curve, recession, stock vs. bond, airlines & automotive industry, capitalism, inequality, benefits of free trade, IPOs, entertainment industry, Apple, American Express, Wells Fargo, real estate commission, philanthropy with 2% of GDP, odds,…
S&P 500 2025 Target Deutsche Bank strategists slashed their S&P 500 year-end target by 12% to 6,150, attributing the revision primarily to escalating trade war tariffs and their economic fallout. Image: Bloomberg
What Investors Consider the Biggest Risk to Markets Right Now The risk of a trade war triggering a global recession is a pressing concern for investors, as it threatens economic growth, financial stability, and market confidence. Image: Yahoo Finance
Domestic China Equities and Bonds Held by Overseas Investors Foreign holdings of Chinese equities rose to a record high this year, despite the U.S.-China trade war. Image: Bloomberg
Conference Board Confidence Index of CEO vs. U.S. Real Business Investment The trade war has no winners and could curtail U.S. business investment further. Image: NBF Economics and Strategy