The Short Interest in the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) to Lowest Since Late 2017 Is it a contrarian indicator? Only time will tell… The market is strong and historically, the 3rd year of a president’s term is positive (91% of the time since 1925). Source: Hedgopia
Is Inflation Dead? Is this cover of Bloomberg Businessweek a contrarian indicator? Remember that dinosaurs evolved into birds over 50 million years. Do you think we will have to wait 50 million years for inflation to return? You may also like “How to Get Inflation?” and “Where Does Inflation Come From?“ Image: Bloomberg
St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index Before a coming recession, also watch the St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index for forecasting the future. It uses 18 weekly data series to measure financial stress in the market: seven interest rate series, six yield spreads and five other indicators. Each of these variables captures some aspect of financial stress.…
Howard Marks: Pattern Recognition In Markets, Portfolio Positioning and Market Cycles (2018) Howard Marks speaks at UCLA Anderson School of Management with Alfred E. Osborne about cyclical indicators and historic market patterns to find opportunities. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6ATUoZ6qjpI
https://www.isabelnet.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/stock-market-equity-risk-premium.mp4 This fabulous model shows if the US stock market return for the next 10 years is more or less attractive than the 10-Year Treasury Note The US stock market equity risk premium is the US stock market excess return for the next 10 years over the US 10-year Treasury Note. This is the premium…
https://www.isabelnet.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/stock-market-valuation.mp4 This powerful model looks into the US stock market and alerts if it is overvalued or undervalued The model shows the valuation percentage to the right and to the left. In the middle, it shows what the probability of each event happening is. Probability is a way to show how often an event will…
PREMIUM MEMBERSHIP – Click the Images to Enlarge Video tutorials are available by clicking on this link: “FORECASTING MODELS” located in the menu bar at the top of each page. Our daily Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator is available in the Pro Membership. Upgrade your Premium Membership to a Pro Membership Now! The period of…
PRO MEMBERSHIP – Click the Images to Enlarge Video tutorials are available by clicking on this link: “FORECASTING MODELS” located in the menu bar at the top of each page.
FAQ Most Frequent Questions and Answers Membership Why Subscribe? Stay on the top of the US stock market Isabelnet subscription prepares you for what is ahead with advanced forecasting models.. Exclusive short- and long-term forecasts Our models alert our members with US market insight no one else have. Keep up to date with…
BASIC MEMBERSHIP – Click the Images to Enlarge Video tutorials are available by clicking on this link: “FORECASTING MODELS” located in the menu bar at the top of each page. Our daily Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator is available in the Pro Membership. Upgrade your Basic Membership to a Pro Membership Now! The period of…
BASIC 19.95€/mo 199€/year and save 15% single user 2 Forecasting Models Stock Market Valuation Stock Market Short-Term Forecast Subscribe Now! PREMIUM 29.95€/mo 299€/year and save 15% single user 3 Forecasting Models Stock Market Valuation Stock Market Short-Term Forecast Stock Market Equity Risk Premium Subscribe Now! PRO 39.95€/mo 399€/year and save 15% single user 5 Forecasting…