Does Quantitative Easing Affect Valuation?

Does Quantitative Easing Affect Valuation? More fundamentally, low interest rates, high margins, low taxes, buybacks & free cash flow drive stocks higher. Image: Fidelity Investments

U.S. Dollar Liquidity vs. EUR/USD

U.S. Dollar Liquidity vs. EUR/USD The inflow of U.S. dollar into the financial system should continue to grow this year and tends to support the euro against the US dollar. Image: Saxo Bank

U.S. Domiciled Funds: Active vs. Passive

U.S. Domiciled Funds: Active vs. Passive Record passive inflows suggest passive equity funds will surpass active in the coming years. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch US Equity & US Quant Strategy

Passive Over Active Funds

Passive Over Active Funds History suggests that investor outflows from active funds are smallest after periods of high policy uncertainty. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Cumulative S&P 500 Buybacks 2009-2019

Cumulative S&P 500 Buybacks 2009-2019 Are buybacks driving the show? Thanks to tax cuts and low interest rates, corporate stock buybacks are booming. Over the past decade, S&P 500 companies bought back $5 trillion shares, while cumulative flows from households and foreigners are only a drop in the bucket. But what would happend if companies reinvested instead…

Passive Equity Fund Assets vs. Active

Passive Equity Fund Assets vs. Active Record passive inflows suggest passive equity funds will surpass active by 2022. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch

S&P 500 Payout Ratio

S&P 500 Payout Ratio Stock buybacks and dividends as a percentage of free cash flow are reaching dangerous levels. Image: MarketWatch

The Rise of Passive Investing

The Rise of Passive Investing Net inflows into index-tracking U.S. mutual funds and ETFs rose by around 50% in the second quarter from a year earlier. Image: The Wall Street Journal

Decomposing the U.S. 10-Year minus 3-Month Treasury Yield Spread since 2013

Decomposing the U.S. 10-Year minus 3-Month Treasury Yield Spread since 2013 This great chart shows that the “Global Economic Data” variable has a significant impact on the U.S. 10-year minus 3-month Treasury yield spread since 2018. An R² of 0.902 means that more than 90 percent of the variance in the U.S. 10-year minus 3-month Treasury yield spread…