U.S. ISM New Orders vs. S&P 500 NTM EPS Growth (Leading Indicator)
U.S. ISM New Orders vs. S&P 500 NTM EPS Growth (Leading Indicator) Should U.S. equity investors expect -10% earnings growth in 2023? Image: KKR & Co.
U.S. ISM New Orders vs. S&P 500 NTM EPS Growth (Leading Indicator) Should U.S. equity investors expect -10% earnings growth in 2023? Image: KKR & Co.
Economic Composite Index vs. S&P 500 EPS YoY % Change U.S. economic activity is highly correlated with S&P 500 earnings growth. Should U.S. equity investors be worried? Image: Real Investment Advice
South Korea Exports vs. MSCI World EPS South Korea’s exports tend to lead global earnings. Image: J.P. Morgan
Philly Fed Future Nominal Orders vs. S&P 500 12-Months Forward EPS (Leading Indicator) A severe contraction in earnings growth should hurt U.S. stocks in 2023. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
Median Change in Consensus FY0 EPS Estimates and NTM P/E Around the Start of Recessions Should equity investors expect earnings to fall, as recession fears mount? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Progression of Bottom-Up Consensus S&P 500 EPS Estimates Consensus earnings estimates are likely too elevated. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Performance – Over the Next 12 Months, Net % FMS Investors Think… Will high quality earnings beat low quality earnings over the next 12 months? Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey
MSCI EMU 12-Month Forward EPS Earnings estimates are revised significantly downward during recessions. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond
S&P 500 12-Month Forward EPS and Stock-to-Bond Ratio Will the S&P 500 continue to fall as earnings growth slows? Image: Alpine Macro
S&P 500 EPS Growth and Price Performance 2021 will be remembered as a year of strong earnings growth and S&P500 returns. Image: Richardson Wealth
The Long-Term Correlation Between U.S. Stocks and U.S. Interest Rates Rising interest rates tend to have a negative effect on earnings and the stock market. Image: Real Investment Advice