Search Results for: risk

The S&P 500 Hits All-Time High Bulls make money and are happy again… Yes, but until when? Keep in mind that the US stock market is currently overvalued by 9%. Image: Hedgeye Risk Management LLC

“Hedge Funds Are Shorting the VIX at a Rate Never Seen Before” -Bloomberg This certainly won’t not end well. Why do we never learn some lessons and repeat the same mistakes? Image: Hedgeye Risk Management LLC

Ken Fisher: ‘Third year of a president’s term is positive’ “…because political risk aversion falls as you get to increase gridlock which happends in every midterm election.” Billionaire Ken Fisher thinks there is room to run for the stock market this year. But don’t try to time the market and keep your investment strategy simple.

Ray Dalio, Founder and Chairman, Bridgewater Associates In this video at Stanford Graduate School of Business, Ray Dalio discusses his life and career, principles, relationship, conflicts with other nations, increasing wage gap in the U.S. and more. “Just generally as an entrepreneur, you have to think differently in order to be successful. There’s a high…

Why Demand For Saving Deposits Has Weakened Since The Great Recession? Because risk aversion is declining, like money demand, even if interest rates are rising. This explains in part the rise of the US stock market.

Greek’s 5-Year Bond Yields Have Fallen Below US 5-Year Government Bond Yield Which one would you choose? Greek bonds or US counterparts? This is a great example of financial market madness. Mark Twain once said, “History doesn’t repeat itself, but it does rhyme.” That’s true! Greece has spent around half its time in default on its…

Over The Last 6 Months, The S&P 500 Lags Bonds, Gold And Global Stocks Last year, the sell-off of stocks was a correction from a bad equity risk premium and an overvalued stock market, as suggested by our forecasting models. Image: Bloomberg

Why Warren Buffett says that stocks are generally better than bonds? Our equity risk premium model shows when the US stock market return for the next 10 years is more or less attractive than the 10-Year Treasury Note. Since 1970, the 10-year Treasury Note was less attractive than the US stock market over a 10-year…

What Will Cause The Next Recession – Robert Shiller On Human Behavior Robert Shiller is a professor at Yale University and Nobel Prize winner in Economics in 2013. What are the biggest risks right now on the next recession? 1) Housing market, 2) Bull stock market, 3) Interest rates and 4) Record expansion. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rUYk2DA8PH8

‘We are entering into the later market cycle,’ says portfolio manager Mike Morey, CIO of Integrity Viking Funds, says why investors should be more risk averse at this point of the cycle. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g_vVdwtu6SM

Investing in Volatile Markets Mike Novogratz (CEO of Galaxy Digital), Joshua Harris (Co-Founder of Apollo Global Management), Amanda Staveley (CEO of PCP Capital Partners) and Todd Boehly (CEO of Eldridge Industries) discuss how to invest in volatile global markets and identify attractive risk-adjusted investments. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-E5kjT9vgj0