S&P 500 3-Month Performance During an Election Year In Presidential election years, June to August stands out as the strongest 3-month period of the year. The S&P 500 has been up 75% of the time, with an average return of 7.3% since 1928. Image: Carson Investment Research
How the S&P 500 Performance After Big Starts to Previous Election Years After a strong start to the election year, the U.S. stock market tends to regain momentum towards the end of Q2 and generally continues to perform well until the end of the year. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Composite in Elections Years and Election Years When >10% Gains in Previous Year Given the Fed’s interest rate projections, market sentiment indicators and historical market behavior, investors may reasonably expect the S&P 500 index to reach new highs soon. Image: Fundstrat Global Advisors, LLC
S&P 500 – Election Year Seasonality During election years, the S&P 500 tends to trend sideways in Q1. Investors are typically cautious about the potential outcomes of the upcoming elections and tend to adopt a more conservative approach. Image: MarketDesk Research
Average S&P 500 Returns by Election Cycle Year The dynamics and uncertainties of the electoral process often impact market performance in presidential election years, leading to a historical trend of weaker S&P 500 returns. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Average Monthly Performance and How Often Each Month Is Higher in Pre-Election Years In December, during a pre-election year, U.S. stocks typically exhibit notable performance, indicating a positive trend and potential opportunities for investors. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 First Year of a New President in Pre-Election Years Typically, during pre-election years under a new President, the S&P 500 tends to experience a robust market rally as the election year approaches. Image: Carson Investment Research
Median Sector Returns in the Year Before U.S. Election Day Given the historical trend of the tech sector underperforming the S&P 500 in the year preceding the U.S. election day, should investors consider underweighting their exposure to the tech sector in their portfolios? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Average Year for the S&P 500 During a Pre-Election Year Historically, the third quarter of pre-election years has been characterized by weakness in the performance of the S&P 500, while the fourth quarter has exhibited strength. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance 1-Year After Midterm Elections Historically, the S&P 500 Index has been higher a year later every time after midterm elections in November. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 – Seasonality During Bull vs. Bear Markets – 3rd Year of U.S. Election Cycle Only Both bulls and bears may be frustrated this year. Image: Topdown Charts