S&P 500 Composite in Elections Years and Election Years When >10% Gains in Previous Year Given the Fed’s interest rate projections, market sentiment indicators and historical market behavior, investors may reasonably expect the S&P 500 index to reach new highs soon. Image: Fundstrat Global Advisors, LLC
S&P 500 – Election Year Seasonality During election years, the S&P 500 tends to trend sideways in Q1. Investors are typically cautious about the potential outcomes of the upcoming elections and tend to adopt a more conservative approach. Image: MarketDesk Research
Average S&P 500 Returns by Election Cycle Year The dynamics and uncertainties of the electoral process often impact market performance in presidential election years, leading to a historical trend of weaker S&P 500 returns. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Average Monthly Performance and How Often Each Month Is Higher in Pre-Election Years In December, during a pre-election year, U.S. stocks typically exhibit notable performance, indicating a positive trend and potential opportunities for investors. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 First Year of a New President in Pre-Election Years Typically, during pre-election years under a new President, the S&P 500 tends to experience a robust market rally as the election year approaches. Image: Carson Investment Research
Median Sector Returns in the Year Before U.S. Election Day Given the historical trend of the tech sector underperforming the S&P 500 in the year preceding the U.S. election day, should investors consider underweighting their exposure to the tech sector in their portfolios? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Average Year for the S&P 500 During a Pre-Election Year Historically, the third quarter of pre-election years has been characterized by weakness in the performance of the S&P 500, while the fourth quarter has exhibited strength. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance 1-Year After Midterm Elections Historically, the S&P 500 Index has been higher a year later every time after midterm elections in November. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 – Seasonality During Bull vs. Bear Markets – 3rd Year of U.S. Election Cycle Only Both bulls and bears may be frustrated this year. Image: Topdown Charts
S&P 500 – Seasonality During Bull vs. Bear Markets (Midterm Election Years Only) Historically, the Santa Claus rally tends to occur only in bull markets during midterm election years. Image: Topdown Charts
S&P 500 Returns During Midterm Election Years Historically, the S&P 500 tends to outperform in the 12 months following midterm elections. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research