Max 3-Month S&P 500 Drawdowns in Midterm Election Years
Max 3-Month S&P 500 Drawdowns in Midterm Election Years Could the S&P 500 fall more than 16% this year? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Max 3-Month S&P 500 Drawdowns in Midterm Election Years Could the S&P 500 fall more than 16% this year? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Coronavirus – U.S. State COVID-19 Full Vaccination Rates vs. 2020 Presidential Election Popular Vote Share Vaccination rates in the United States are highly correlated with politics. Image: BCA Research
Seasonality – S&P 500 Index Performance Post-Election Years The S&P 500 Index tends to bottom in late September during post-election years. Image: LPL Research
S&P 500 Returns from Election of New President in November to 100 Days After the Inauguration President Joe Biden’s 100-day stock market performance is the strongest in at least 75 years. Image: J.P. Morgan
Prediction Market Probability that Democrats Have Control Following the 2020 U.S. Election The prediction market probability of the Democrats taking control of the Senate has increased to 32%. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Election Blue Wave – Russell 2000 vs. Nasdaq 1000 Futures and U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield The blue wave trades collapsed after President Trump’s victory in Florida. Image: BofA Research Investment Committee
Health Care Stocks – Health Care Sector Excess Returns vs. S&P 500 Around U.S. Presidential Elections The health care sector tends to outperform after Election Day. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Equity Returns (2-Day from Election Day) Last week saw the largest two-day equity bounce after U.S. Election Day since 1900. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
FAAMG Stocks After the U.S. Election FAAMG stocks continue to do well in this market. Image: Financial Times
Euro to U.S. Dollar (EUR/USD) and U.S. Presidential Elections Since 2000, the EUR/USD tends to rise after the U.S. presidential election. Image: Nordea and Macrobond