S&P 500 Price Target

S&P 500 Price Target Morgan Stanley’s bull case scenario predicts the S&P 500 could reach 7,400 by the end of 2025, representing significant gains from current levels. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

VIX – Volatility Index

VIX – Volatility Index While the current low VIX suggests investors are feeling as calm as a cat in a sunbeam, it also serves as a warning about potential future volatility if market conditions shift unexpectedly. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

Sentiment – U.S. Composite Put/Call Ratio

Sentiment – U.S. Composite Put/Call Ratio The sharp decline in the U.S. put/call ratio to very low levels signals widespread market complacency, as even typically anxious investors appear unworried. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

U.S. Federal Budget Spending

2025 Projected U.S. Federal Spending While the idea of cutting $2 trillion from U.S. federal spending is appealing in theory, the practical challenges and political realities make it a daunting task. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

Number of Trading Days Since Last Fed Rate Cut

Number of Trading Days Since Last Fed Rate Cut The Fed’s recent decision to cut interest rates for the first time in four years, in response to changing economic conditions, marks the second-longest wait for such a reduction in history. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

2-Year U.S. Treasury Yield – Fed Funds Rate

2-Year U.S. Treasury Yield – Fed Funds Rate The current spread between the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield and the federal funds rate suggests that the bond market perceives the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy as tight. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

Inequality – Inflation Adjusted U.S. Household Net Worth by Brackets

Inequality – U.S. Household Net Worth by Brackets The widening wealth gap in the U.S. reflects deep-rooted structural issues that have persisted for decades. While some groups have gained, the overall trend indicates a growing divide that challenges economic mobility and social equity. Image: Real Investment Advice

Real U.S. Household Net Worth vs. GDP

Real U.S. Household Net Worth vs. GDP The current wealth of American households, marked by an unprecedented gap between net worth and GDP, raises concerns about sustainability. A correction may occur if asset prices begin to realign with economic fundamentals. Image: Real Investment Advice

U.S. Private Sector Financial Assets % of GDP

U.S. Private Sector Financial Assets % of GDP The growing disconnect between U.S. financial asset values and GDP raises concerns about the widening wealth gap, potential systemic risks, economic instability, and policy challenges. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

30 Largest Stocks as a Percentage of S&P 500 Market Capitalization

30 Largest Stocks as a Percentage of S&P 500 Market Capitalization The 30 largest stocks account for 53% of the S&P 500’s total market capitalization, raising concerns about the index’s concentration and potential risks. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management