Japan GDP

Japan GDP Japan’s economy shrunk at a 6.3% annual rate in late 2019 after sales-tax hike. Image: Financial Times

Cumulative S&P 500 Buybacks 2009-2019

Cumulative S&P 500 Buybacks 2009-2019 Are buybacks driving the show? Thanks to tax cuts and low interest rates, corporate stock buybacks are booming. Over the past decade, S&P 500 companies bought back $5 trillion shares, while cumulative flows from households and foreigners are only a drop in the bucket. But what would happend if companies reinvested instead…

Stock Buybacks Since 2000

Stock Buybacks Since 2000 Thanks to tax cuts and low interest rates, the stock market should get around $1 trillion boost via buybacks this year. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Does U.S. Productivity Increase Under Trump?

Does U.S. Productivity Increase Under President Trump? The answer is yes, because businesses have invested. Even if Net Domestic Investment to GDP is in a long-term downtrend, that’s good news for the U.S. economy. Keep in mind that it is a key factor in extending the business cycle. US Productivity has increased, because US companies have invested,…

Negative-Yielding Debt by Country

Negative-Yielding Debt by Country The chart shows negative-yielding debt by country as of June 2019. Bondholders will get back less than what they paid if they hold bonds to maturity. So, in a sense, negative yield bonds are a tax on bondholders. Picture Source: Bloomberg

Negative Yielding Bonds in the Barclays/Bloomberg Global Aggregate Index

Negative Yielding Bonds in the Barclays/Bloomberg Global Aggregate Index These charts put things into perspective. Keep in mind that bondholders will get back less than what they paid if they hold bonds to maturity. Negative yield bonds are also a tax on bondholders. Image: Bianco Research

Stock Market Forecasting Models vs. US Stock Market

Stock Market Forecasting Models vs. US Stock Market – Growth of $1,000 As an example, the chart shows the growth of $1,000 since 1970, between the stock market forecasting models and the US stock market (compound return before taxes, fees and transactions costs – unleveraged, simulated long & short trades – quarterly basis & logarithmic…

U.S. Corporate Stock Buybacks Are Booming Since 2010!

U.S. Corporate Stock Buybacks Are Booming Since 2010! Thanks to tax cuts and low interest rates. What would happen if companies reinvested instead of buying their own shares? Unfortunately, artificially low interest rates are associated with unnecessary debt. See how corporate debt-to-GDP has increased since the Great Recession.