Search Results for: rate hike

Net Global Central Bank Hikes/Cuts Global central banks haven’t cut this much since the Great Financial Crisis. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Investment Strategy

Is Wall Street Overestimating Fed Rate Cut Odds? For the first time, the probability of a rate cut is above 80%, and the probability of a rate hike is 0%. Image: Bloomberg

S&P 500 Earnings vs. Fed Funds Historically, Fed rate hikes tend to negatively affect S&P 500 earnings. Image: Real Investment Advice

Change in Financial Conditions Following Major Geopolitical Events Will the Fed delay rate hikes and balance sheet reduction? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Average S&P 500 Performance in Fed Tightening Cycles S&P 500 weakness tends to materialise 9-10 months after the first Fed rate hike and tends to last a year. Image: Deutsche Bank

Post-GFC Fed Balance Sheet Phases, Fed Funds, UST 10-Year and the S&P 500 Can U.S. stocks survive the Fed’s tapering and rate hikes? Image: Deutsche Bank

Average S&P 500 Performance in Fed Tightening Cycles Around 9 months after the first rate hike, the S&P 500 tends to be flat for over a year. Image: Deutsche Bank

Fed – Expectation for the Tapering Timeline Is it time to talk about tapering quantitative easing and rate hikes? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Valuation – Average Forward P/E in Core PCE Inflation Ranges Since 1976​ Historically, inflation generally had a negative impact on valuations when core PCE approached 2%, in the anticipation of rate hikes. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Fed Funds vs. Employment/Population + Inflation This chart suggests the optimal monetary policy, while Fed officials do not anticipate any rate hikes until 2022. Image: Oxford Economics