S&P 500 and VIX/10-Year U.S. Treasury Ratio
S&P 500 and VIX/10-Year U.S. Treasury Ratio Chart showing how spikes in the VIX/10-Year U.S. Treasury ratio result in lower equity prices. Image: Truist
S&P 500 and VIX/10-Year U.S. Treasury Ratio Chart showing how spikes in the VIX/10-Year U.S. Treasury ratio result in lower equity prices. Image: Truist
U.S. True Money Supply and Nominal GDP Growth This chart suggests that money supply outpacing U.S. nominal GDP tends to be bullish for asset prices. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond
Forecast: Path of the S&P 500 in 2020 Goldman Sachs sees limited upside for the S&P 500 from current levels and set a price target of 3400 by the end of 2020. Image: Goldman Sachs
Gold, Bitcoin and Negative Yielding Debt Chart suggesting that gold price and bitcoin have been boosted by rising negative-yielding debt. Image: Fidelity Investments
Purchasing Power of the Consumer Dollar in U.S. City Average As prices increase, the purchasing power of the consumer’s dollar declines. US$100 in 1913 would only be worth US$3.87 today.
Global Oil Consumption as a % of GDP and Global Recessions Chart suggesting that Brent crude prices need to exceed US$117 to push the global economy into recession. Image: Financial Times
Consolidated Equity Positioning Equities positioning are at their highest level in two years, as optimistic investors price in a global growth rebound. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 Forecast for 2020 Goldman Sachs forecasts a price-target for the S&P 500 at 3400 by year-end 2020, and a downside scenario at 2600 depending on tariffs and the US election result. Image: Goldman Sachs
U.S. 10Y-2Y Yield Curve and U.S. High Yield Bonds Chart suggesting that high yield prices are not likely to perform well. Image: Morgan Stanley
Global Gold Production Chart suggesting that gold is heading for a flat supply at best in the coming years, which could further support the price of gold. Image: Bernstein
Bitcoin Volatility The price of Bitcoin exhibits high volatility persistence. Has Bitcoin failed as a means of payment and store of value? Image: Financial Times