Equal-Weight vs. Aggregate S&P 500 10-Year Trailing Relative Returns

Equal-Weight vs. Aggregate S&P 500 10-Year Trailing Relative Returns Current market conditions suggest that investors might benefit from considering an equal-weight strategy for the S&P 500, especially in light of the significant concentration observed in the index. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 Volatility

S&P 500 Volatility The concentration of large-cap stocks has significantly impacted market volatility, with these stocks accounting for a record share of it. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Top 10 Stocks as % of S&P 500

Top 10 Stocks as % of S&P 500 In recent years, there has been a substantial rise in concentration among the top 10 companies in the S&P 500, which has raised concerns about potential risks to investors. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Share of U.S. Corporate Profits from Foreign Markets

Share of U.S. Corporate Profits from Foreign Markets Foreign markets, including emerging markets, significantly contribute to the profits of U.S. corporations. Specifically, they account for 16% of U.S. corporate profits, with emerging markets making up 4% of these profits. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Valuation – MSCI World 12-Month Forward P/E

Valuation – MSCI World 12-Month Forward PE Compared to the 20-year median, the current global stock market valuation appears relatively high, with a 12-month forward P/E ratio of 17.8. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Valuation – U.S. Equity Market Capitalization to GDP

Valuation – U.S. Equity Market Capitalization to GDP The U.S. equity market cap to GDP ratio is near an all-time high at approximately 187%, suggesting a significant overvaluation of the U.S. stock market. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Stocks – Indexed Consensus NTM Net Income

Stocks – Indexed Consensus NTM Net Income The widening gap in expected net income between mega-cap tech stocks and the bottom 493 stocks of the S&P 500 highlights the concentration risk and volatility associated with the dominance of these tech stocks in the index. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Economic Growth vs. S&P 500 EPS Growth

U.S. Economic Growth vs. S&P 500 EPS Growth Economic growth is a driver of earnings growth, as it creates opportunities for businesses to expand their operations, increase sales, and generate higher profits. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Total Return Performance Since First Fed Hike in March 2022

Total Return Performance Since First Fed Hike in March 2022 There has been a significant concentration of equity market returns following the first Fed hike in March 2022. This concentration should be considered by investors when structuring their portfolios. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Valuation – S&P 500 Forward P/E

Valuation – S&P 500 Forward P/E Ratio The valuation of the S&P 500 index tends to expand after the Fed’s first cut, providing valuable insight into the potential impact of the Fed’s decisions on the U.S. stock market. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Valuation – Mega-Cap Tech Relative NTM P/E vs. Rest of S&P 500

Valuation – Mega-Cap Tech Relative NTM P/E vs. Rest of S&P 500 The concentration of mega-cap tech stocks in the S&P 500 Index has raised concerns that the market is being pulled up by a handful of stocks. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research