U.S. Unemployment Rate Technical analysis suggests an upside risk to the U.S. unemployment rate in the second half of 2024, indicating potential challenges in sustaining job growth and stability in the labor market. Image: BofA Global Research
U.S. Initial Unemployment Claims After Yield Curve Inversion Is there a difference this time in the association between an inverted yield curve, usually indicating economic decline, and the potential for job losses? Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
U.S. Labor Market – Initial Claims The jump in U.S. jobless claims is raising fears of a potential recession. Image: J.P. Morgan
U.S. Labor Market – Spread Between Leading and Coincident Economic Indicators and Initial Unemployment Claims U.S. jobless claims are still near historic lows, but are expected to rise in the near future. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
U.S. Labor Market – Continuing Claims for Unemployment Continuing claims declined for the sixth straight week, but the U.S. job market remains fragile. Image: Oxford Economics
U.S. Unemployment Rate Continues Recovery U.S. unemployment rate drops to 7.9%, but job growth slowed in September. Image: BofA
Performance – FANG+ Index vs. S&P 500 and U.S. Banks The FANG+ index climbs higher, while banks slump again over fears of job losses and bad loans. Image: J.P. Morgan
Employment/Population Ratio Since 1948 in the U.S. The challenge of unemployment in the United States: about half of the population is jobless. Image: CNBC
U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment U.S. new weekly jobless claims fall below 2 million, but remain high. Image: Oxford Economics
What Is the Probability of Being Unemployed in a Given Month in the United States? Weekly initial jobless claims decreased to 202,000. Currently, by dividing the average initial claims for unemployment insurance by the total number of people working, the probability is less than 0.15% of being unemployed in a given month in the United…
S&P 500 Year-Over-Year Return Explained Chart suggesting that strong housing and jobs growth explain S&P 500 returns. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC