Global Corporate Bond Sales

Global Corporate Bond Sales Companies sold a record amount of bonds in September. Yield-seeking investors were served up $434bn of new corporate bonds globally. Image: Financial Times

Currency Sensitivity vs. VIX

Currency Sensitivity vs. VIX If VIX spikes, this chart suggests that investors should be long yen. Image: Nordea and Macrobond

S&P 500 Total Return Change During Economic Expansions

S&P 500 Total Return Change During Economic Expansions The current business cycle is the longest and weakest expansion. The next downturn could hit the U.S. stock market much harder than the economy. Image: Irrelevant Investor LLC

Global PMI Cycles

Global PMI Cycles Interesting table showing global PMI cycles: if investors get the global PMI right, they do well. Image: Pervalle Global

Global Equity – Global Bond Fund Flows

Global Equity – Global Bond Fund Flows In the past two weeks, investors have shifted from bonds to equities. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Investment Strategy

Relative Performance of MSCI World Factors

Relative Performance of MSCI World Factors In the last two weeks, the shift to value stocks may indicate that investors expect rates to rise. Image: Financial Times

US-China Trade Deal – BofA Survey

US-China Trade Deal – BofA Survey The September edition of the BofA survey shows that 76% of clients expect a trade deal eventually, but it will take time. Image: BofA Credit Investor Survey

Sentiment Indicator

Sentiment Indicator Are investors be too bullish? Currently, the sentiment indicator is above average at 1.2 standard deviations. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Recession Probability – BofA Survey

U.S. Recession Probability – BofA Survey The September edition of the BofA survey shows that U.S. credit investors see a 25% chance of recession over the next 12 months. Image: BofA Credit Investor Survey

Gold Fund Flows

Gold Fund Flows Investors are flooding into gold as fears of a global slowdown mount. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch

Global Bond Fund Flows

Global Bond Fund Flows Over the past 3 months, investors have injected $160bn into bond funds, fearing a global recession. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch