Inflation – U.S. ISM Services Prices vs. Super Core PCE History shows the U.S. ISM Services Prices Index tends to lead super core inflation by five months, which means sticky prices aren’t going anywhere soon. Image: Deutsche Bank
Market Breadth – Percent Below 52-Week High S&P 500 Index Less Median Stock Market breadth across the S&P 500 has turned higher again, showing signs of momentum. With more stocks joining the move, the rally is driven by rotation rather than fragility and the bulls like what they see. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Returns in January The S&P 500 is up 1% so far this month. January has finished higher three years in a row. Could this be the fourth? Since 1950, when January finishes in the green, the rest of the year has risen 87% of the time. Image: Carson Investment Research
Valuation – Mega-Cap Tech PEG Ratio Despite relying on forward growth estimates that often move, the Mega-Cap Tech PEG ratio (P/E to CY3 EPS growth) has fallen sharply, echoing the lows of 2022. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
YTD Returns of Select Equity Indices Wall Street has lost some spark. The KOSPI, fired up by semiconductor leaders, has surged 15% this year, dwarfing the S&P 500’s and Nasdaq 100’s modest 1% gains. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Consensus EPS Growth Estimates Wall Street is riding a wave of optimism as analysts project S&P 500 earnings to climb 15% in both 2026 and 2027. But the real action may be in small caps, where profits are forecast to surge 67% this year and jump another 27% next. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Markets – Cumulative S&P 500 Growth vs. Cumulative Real GDP Growth vs. Cumulative S&P Sales Growth Fueled by years of Fed stimulus, investors have been conditioned to buy every dip, sending U.S. markets into orbit far above the real economy. Image: Real Investment Advice
Gold Price Forecast Goldman Sachs is turning more bullish on bullion, lifting its December 2026 forecast to $5,400 an ounce from $4,900, as private-sector diversification into gold starts to gain traction. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Weekly Announced Buybacks S&P 500 buyback announcements have cooled in recent months, but most analysts call it a pause after record highs. High rates and rising capex are weighing on activity, but resilient earnings keep the trend alive. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Net Weekly Global Flows: Equity vs. Money Markets Strong equity inflows and shrinking money market assets show investors are pulling cash out of safe havens and putting it back to work in stocks, giving new life to the “cash on the sidelines” story. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Gold vs. Bitcoin The gap between gold and bitcoin has widened in recent weeks. Safe‑haven flows have lifted gold, while bitcoin has been trading more like a high‑beta risk asset, closely tracking tech and growth stocks. Image: MarketDesk Research