Author: isabelnet

U.S. Election and Contested Election Risk The market’s fear of a contested election is easing. Image: BofA

Performance – S&P 500 vs. Basket of 30 Equities Expected to Benefit from a Biden Win Biden longs outperformed in the equity market, as investors are betting on a potential Biden election victory. Image: BofA Global Research

Markets – Days with Equities Up at Least 3.5% and Treasury Yield Up The combination where equities drop at least 3.5%, Treasury yields are up and gold is down, is rare. Image: BofA Global Research

U.S. Equity Market Implications of Election Scenarios Chart suggesting the equity market implications of five possible U.S. election outcomes. Image: BofA Global Research

Dividends Yield on MSCI All Countries World Index (MSCI ACWI) Bye-bye dividends? Dividends have been hit hard by the coronavirus pandemic. Image: Financial Times

Euro to U.S. Dollar (EUR/USD) and EMU vs. U.S. Mobility EUR/USD could drop further, as lockdowns return to Europe. Image: Nordea and Macrobond

Returns on Global Equities and Bonds Will global equities continue to generate significant returns over the next decade? Image: Financial Times

S&P 500 3-Month Implied Volatility Change After U.S. Elections Volatility tends to decline after the U.S. elections. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Equity Performance 1-Week Before U.S. Elections Historically, the S&P 500 tends to be positive one week prior to U.S. elections (Tuesday to Tuesday close). Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Core Consumer Price Inflation vs. Velocity of Money There are downside risks to U.S. inflation, as velocity of money tends to lead U.S. core CPI. Image: BCA Research

U.S. Dollar Index and U.S. Double Deficit The U.S. double deficit is worsening and suggests a further depreciation of the U.S. dollar. Image: Fidelity Investments