Over the Following Time Horizons, Would you Rather Own U.S. or European Equities? Deutsche Bank’s survey of 400 financial professionals worldwide shows a strong short-term preference for European stocks over U.S. equities, but this trend…
Conference Board 1-Year Expectation Stock Prices Increase vs. S&P 500 The Conference Board’s latest Consumer Confidence survey reveals the sharpest two-month drop in stock market expectations—a level of pessimism that historically signals a contrarian buying…
U.S. Share of Global Equity Market The U.S. share of the global equity market, while still dominant at 54%, has retreated from its peak of 57%, reflecting recent market turbulence and growing diversification concerns. Image:…
S&P 500 E-Mini Futures (ES1) Liquidity Thinning liquidity in financial markets exacerbates downside risks by increasing the likelihood of abrupt and severe price movements, particularly during economic or geopolitical shocks. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day With the S&P 500 index down 2.88% YTD, bears are feeling pretty smart. Meanwhile, bulls are like, “Did you see the 3.45% gain over the last 9 trading days? Party…
What Do You Think the Probability of There Being a U.S. Recession in the Next 12 Months Is? Deutsche Bank’s survey of 400 financial professionals worldwide indicates an average 43% expectation of a U.S. recession…
COMEX Copper Price The Trump administration may impose 25% copper import tariffs within weeks, sparking market volatility as traders rush shipments to the U.S., driving copper prices to record highs. Image: The Daily Shot
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day In Wall Street, bears are like the prophets of doom, except instead of a fiery apocalypse, it’s just a market correction! Happy “Hump” Day, Everyone! 🐫🐪😎
Housing – CME Lumber Futures Price The combination of increased tariffs, supply constraints, and strong demand is creating a challenging environment for the lumber market, leading to significant price increases that are expected to continue…
Oil, 10 Year U.S. Treasury Yields and U.S. Dollar The increasing cohesion in recent years between oil prices, 10-year U.S. Treasury yields, and the U.S. dollar reflects deeper economic linkages and heightened sensitivity to policy…
U.S. 2s10s Yield Curve and Consensus Probability of a U.S. Recessions in the Next 12 Months Although fears of a U.S. recession have been mounting, the 2s10s U.S. Treasury yield curve’s recent steepening suggests a…