Number of 2% Drops per Year for the S&P 500 Index

Number of 2% Drops per Year for the S&P 500 Index Though they can be uncomfortable, big drops in the U.S. stock market are relatively common, even in the best years. On average, the S&P…

Equities vs. Bonds

Equities vs. Bonds Recent trends suggest that the risk/reward profile of bonds, particularly U.S. Treasuries, has become more favorable compared to equities. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond

Change in Nonfarm Payrolls

Change in Nonfarm Payrolls Consensus expectations for the August non-farm payrolls report suggest an increase of approximately 165,000 jobs, while the U.S. unemployment rate is projected to decline to 4.2%. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment…

S&P 500 Fragility

S&P 500 Fragility Following the Global Financial Crisis, high fragility events have become more common, posing risks to U.S. equity investors and undermining the stability of the financial system. Image: BofA Global Research

GDP Growth Revision

GDP Growth Revision The U.S. economy demonstrates resilience and promising growth outlook, in contrast to the EU and China, which face slower recoveries and economic challenges. Image: Deutsche Bank

Returns – U.S. Equities vs. Commodities

Returns – U.S. Equities vs. Commodities While commodities can serve as a hedge in certain market conditions, U.S. equities are likely to continue outperforming them over the long term due to their lower volatility, more…

G7 Inflation Average

G7 Inflation Average Current projections and trends suggest a return to 5% inflation is unlikely in the near term, but long-term structural changes and unforeseen shocks could alter this outlook. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

S&P 500 Index Returns in September

S&P 500 Index Returns in September Late September has historically been a challenging time for U.S. stocks, with a notable pattern of underperformance that has persisted for decades. Image: Carson Investment Research

S&P 500 Volatility

S&P 500 Volatility The concentration of large-cap stocks has significantly impacted market volatility, with these stocks accounting for a record share of it. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

M2 Money Supply

M2 Money Supply The recent rise in the M2 money supply in the United States is considered a favorable development for equity markets, enhancing liquidity and potentially driving additional investment in stocks. Image: Deutsche Bank

Fed Funds Forecast vs. Market Pricing

Fed Funds Forecast vs. Market Pricing While the Fed has made progress in the fight against inflation, BofA holds a significantly more hawkish view on Fed policy compared to market expectations. Image: BofA Global Research