Survey – U.S. Inflation and EU Inflation Inflation expectations are diverging sharply between the United States and Europe. While inflation in the U.S. shows signs of recovery, European expectations have notably declined, dipping below 2%…
Valuation – S&P 500 Forward P/E Ratio vs. 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield surpassing 4.5% is creating a headwind for equity valuations and potentially dampening investor sentiment. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth…
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day Ignoring climate risks in your portfolio is like wearing a parka in a sauna—you might feel cozy now, but you’re in for a sweaty surprise later! Have a Great Day,…
Currency Futures Positioning Despite already high U.S. dollar positioning, Goldman Sachs has upgraded its forecast for the U.S. dollar, expecting it to rally by about 5% in the next 12 months. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset…
U.S. Breakeven Inflation Rate While U.S. inflation breakeven rates have been moving higher recently, inflation expectations remain relatively well-anchored, which is crucial for maintaining price stability and economic confidence. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Percentage Contribution of Returns Between Dividends, Earnings and Valuation While multiple expansion has played an important role in boosting S&P 500 returns, future performance may depend more on earnings growth. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment…
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day The S&P 500 took a dive last week with a 1.94% loss. It seems bulls are feeling a bit under the weather—maybe too much partying at market highs! Have a…
Stocks – High Quality Relative Earnings Revisions Breadth and High Quality Factor Relative Performance In a late-cycle market, investors looking for stability might find high-quality stocks appealing, given their historical ability to provide robust protection…
How Survey Responders Think the S&P 500 Will Perform Over the Year Ahead 35% of respondents expect the S&P 500 index to appreciate between 5% and 10% by the end of 2025, while 24% expect…
Valuation – S&P 500 Concentration Median P/E While the current median P/E of the top 10 stocks relative to the S&P 500 median P/E is historically high, it is still below the peaks seen during…
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day Bears hate that the S&P 500 has a history of strong performance following years of double-digit gains, when the first five trading days of the new year show positive results.…