ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day

ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day Bears can’t stop laughing as gold trades near a two-month low. But Goldman Sachs predicts gold will hit a record high of $3,000 per ounce by December 2025, driven by…

U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Around Close Presidential Elections

U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Around Close Presidential Elections While U.S. elections are significant in shaping economic policy and affecting investor sentiment, they do not consistently drive changes in the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield. Image: Deutsche…

Which Countries Would Be Most Hit by Tariffs?

Which Countries Would Be Most Hit by Tariffs? Mexico, Vietnam, and Canada stand to lose the most if the United States implements new tariffs, given their strong economic relationships with the U.S.. Image: Deutsche Bank

U.S. Real Yields

U.S. Real Yields While not extreme, the current U.S. real interest rate of about 2% is relatively high, reflecting a restrictive monetary policy aimed at bringing inflation under control. Image: Bloomberg

ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day

ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day Being a bear on Earth in 2024 is hard enough, with the S&P 500 gaining 26% YTD including dividends. How about a one-way trip to Mars? It’s so cold there…

S&P 500 Level and EPS

S&P 500 Level and EPS Driven by expectations of robust earnings per share growth, Goldman Sachs has set its 12-month S&P 500 price target at 6,300. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day

ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day With Republicans achieving a trifecta by winning the House, Senate, and presidency, Democrats will find it difficult to advance their policy agenda. Historically, markets have performed best under a divided…

U.S. Headline and Core CPI Inflation

U.S. Headline and Core CPI Inflation The latest inflation data for October 2024 indicates that U.S. inflation has remained firm, showing a slight uptick rather than continuing its irregular descent, suggesting that the Fed’s battle…

Total Return Performance of Various Assets

Total Return Performance of Various Assets Despite Warren Buffett’s skepticism towards gold as an investment, the precious metal has outperformed both U.S. equities and U.S. Treasury bonds over the past 25 years. Image: Deutsche Bank

Probability of Fed Rate Cut

Probability of Fed Rate Cut After the CPI data release, traders now estimate an 82.5% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut at the FOMC meeting on December 18, 2024. Image: CME GRoup

Valuation – S&P 500 CAPE Ratio

Valuation – S&P 500 CAPE Ratio A high CAPE ratio suggests caution but isn’t a reliable market timing indicator. Markets may remain overvalued for extended periods, typically leading to subdued long-term equity returns. Image: Deutsche…