S&P 500 Monthly Returns During an U.S. Election Year The S&P 500 has historically performed well in August during presidential election years, contributing to an overall positive market sentiment and potentially extending the summer rally.…
U.S. Small Cap Stocks vs. U.S. Large Cap Stocks U.S. small caps are currently viewed as an attractive investment opportunity compared to U.S. large caps, with several factors suggesting potential outperformance over the next decade.…
Investment Grade (IG) Spread According to Goldman Sachs, Investment Grade (IG) spreads are expected to remain virtually unchanged over the next 12 months. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 and Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index Should investors stay optimistic? The rise in the Chicago Fed Financial Conditions Index is seen as a bullish signal for the S&P 500, suggesting potential for…
S&P 500 Index and Earnings per Share Corporate earnings are the cornerstone of equity prices. Deutsche Bank’s positive forecast for the S&P 500 index reflects a general belief in the strength of these earnings. Image:…
Global Composite PMI and EPS Growth The Global Composite PMI serves as a leading indicator for EPS growth, with its trends providing insights into future corporate earnings performance. Image: J.P. Morgan
VIX vs. S&P 500 The lack of a significant increase in the VIX during the market decline may indicate that widespread panic selling is absent. Image: Real Investment Advice
10-Year/2-Year Treasury Yield Curve Around First Fed Rate Cuts The U.S. yield curve typically steepens once the prospect of interest rate cuts by the Fed becomes more imminent, rather than when the Fed actually stops…
Flows – Net Buys 4-Week Average and S&P 500 Last week, BofA’s clients were significant net sellers of U.S. equities, unloading approximately $7 billion worth of stocks. Image: BofA Securities
Market – Current Pricing of Policy, Political and Macro Outcomes Investors are confidently predicting a 100% chance of a Fed rate cut on September 18, a 75% likelihood of Donald Trump winning the U.S. election…
Performance – Large Cap Growth vs. Small Cap Value Large-cap growth stocks are outperforming small-cap value stocks at a level not seen since the dot-com bubble era. Historical patterns and the potential for economic recovery…