ISM Manufacturing Index and SOX Philadelphia Semiconductor Index

ISM Manufacturing Index vs. Semiconductors Semiconductors are discounting a substantial rise in the U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI, which suggests a robust expansion in manufacturing activity and overall economic growth. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

U.S. Economic Growth vs. S&P 500 EPS Growth

U.S. Economic Growth vs. S&P 500 EPS Growth Economic growth is a driver of earnings growth, as it creates opportunities for businesses to expand their operations, increase sales, and generate higher profits. Image: Goldman Sachs…

U.S. Tech Stocks vs. Global Tech Stocks

U.S. Tech Stocks vs. Global Tech Stocks The remarkable outperformance of U.S. tech stocks underscores the competitive advantage and innovation prowess of U.S. companies, consistently surpassing global peers in growth and market value. Image: Topdown…

Fed – Number of Policy Rate Adjustments

Fed – Number of Policy Rate Adjustments Throughout history, the Federal Reserve has made decisions that are not influenced by the election cycle, as the central bank’s actions are predominantly guided by economic indicators and…

Real S&P 500 Index and Periods to Breakeven

Real S&P 500 Index and Periods to Breakeven The timing of your investment journey can significantly impact your future outcomes, and even with the Fed’s interventions, recovering from a bear market can take a considerable…

S&P 500 – Change in Liquidity

S&P 500 – Change in Liquidity Will the support given to U.S. equities through the increase in net liquidity since March 2023 persist until the end of the year? Image: Morgan Stanley Research

U.S. Consumer Sentiment

U.S. Consumer Sentiment and Recession In recent months, U.S. consumer sentiment has improved markedly, mainly due to lower inflation, the positive performance of risk assets and a recovery in real income growth. Image: Deutsche Bank

History of Asset Bubbles

History of Asset Bubbles The growing enthusiasm for AI has sparked concerns of a potential valuation bubble, as companies and investors occasionally develop unrealistic expectations about the technology and its capabilities. Image: BofA Global Investment…

S&P 500 – CAPE Valuations

S&P 500 – CAPE Valuations While a high CAPE ratio can persist for extended periods without triggering a market correction, historical data suggests that such periods of elevated valuations are typically followed by lower stock…

S&P 500 Earnings Revisions Breadth

S&P 500 Earnings Revisions Breadth S&P 500 earnings revision breadth remains in negative territory, suggesting that there is still a cautious outlook for future earnings of S&P 500 companies. Image: Morgan Stanley Research