How the S&P 500 Does in an Election Year If the President Is Up for Re-Election or Not Historically, U.S. stocks tend to perform well in election years when the incumbent president is running for…
Rolling 24 Month Correlation Between U.S. Treasury Bonds and Equities Amid high inflation, UST bonds become less effective as a hedge against U.S. stocks, as rising prices erode bond payouts and interest rate hikes lead…
S&P 500 and New 52-Week Highs and New 52-Week Lows The improvement in the percentage of S&P 500 stocks at new 52-week highs can be seen as a confirmation of a cyclical bull market. This…
U.S. Value Flows Over the past 18 months, outflows from U.S. value funds have been substantial, totaling a record $100 billion. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
NAAIM vs. S&P 500 Index Active investment managers, with their portfolios fully invested in equities, are often criticized for their consistent habit of selling at market bottoms and purchasing at market tops. Image: Real Investment…
Secular Bull Market – S&P 500 Weekly Chart with the 40-Week MA and 200-Week MA The S&P 500 has reached the 5600s target based on the bullish cup and handle pattern that formed in 2022-2023.…
Performance – Large Cap vs. Small Cap The durability of the rotation from U.S. large caps to U.S. small caps remains to be seen as the market assesses the implications of changing inflation and rate…
FMS Recession Expectations With economic indicators currently showing some resilience, is it unlikely that the global economy will experience a recession in the next 12 months? Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey
Performance – Regional Banks vs. Large Banks Would investors be better served by focusing on quality large bank names rather than trying to find value in the regional banking sector at this time? Image: BofA…
U.S. Unemployment Rate Technical analysis suggests an upside risk to the U.S. unemployment rate in the second half of 2024, indicating potential challenges in sustaining job growth and stability in the labor market. Image: BofA…
S&P 500 – Russell 2000 (Small Caps) Outperforms Russell 1000 (Large Caps) by 3% of More Historically, when small caps have outperformed large caps by 3% of more, the S&P 500 has been higher a…