Average Post-Election Year for S&P 500

Average Post-Election Year for S&P 500 In post-election years, U.S. stocks often hit bottom by late October — before ripping higher into year-end, a seasonal gift Wall Street can’t resist. Image: Carson Investment Research

Seasonality – Average Daily Performance of the S&P 500

Seasonality – Average Daily Performance of the S&P 500 After October 27, retail optimism, corporate buybacks, and institutional repositioning can inject fresh energy into U.S. markets. For many traders, it’s the unofficial start of the…

Nasdaq 100 Index and 200-Day Moving Average

Nasdaq 100 Index and 200-Day Moving Average The Nasdaq 100 keeps ripping higher, but its widening gap from the 200-day average is starting to blink red for a possible 5%–10% pullback. Image: Bloomberg

Magnificent Seven Earnings Growth

Magnificent Seven Earnings Growth EPS growth for the Magnificent Seven is set to slow to 14% in Q3, down from 28%. The group keeps smashing Wall Street’s targets, but the premium behind the tech trade…

U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and U.S. Monetary Easing

U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and U.S. Monetary Easing Fed rate cuts don’t always spell a softer dollar. When viewed as a push to steady the economy, they can fuel near-term demand for the greenback. Image:…

Valuation – Shiller P/E and U.S. 10-Year Yield

Valuation – Shiller P/E and U.S. 10-Year Yield Sure, U.S. equities are expensive, but inflation and debt worries make bonds no easy refuge either. The smart move now? Stay selective, not scared. Image: Goldman Sachs…

Returns – Average Year for the S&P 500

Returns – Average Year for the S&P 500 October 27 has a curious pull on markets — a date when U.S. stocks often find a floor before seasonal inflows spark a late‑year surge. Image: Carson…

Median Global Real Return in USD by Asset Class

Median Global Real Return in USD by Asset Class While the 60/40 portfolio can’t match stocks in full bull mode, its long-run performance comes surprisingly close — a reminder that bonds still ground both risk…

CTAs Exposure to Equities

CTAs Exposure to Equities Over the past four weeks, CTAs have tactically reduced equity exposure — down from the 90th to 75th percentile — cashing in gains across markets. Even so, they’re still notably long,…

Sector Contribution to S&P 500 EPS Growth

Sector Contribution to S&P 500 EPS Growth Earnings for Q3 2025 are tracking close to the 8.5% S&P 500 EPS growth consensus, driven largely by the tech and financial heavyweights — a sign that this…

Equity Allocation as % of Household Financial Assets

Equity Allocation as % of Household Financial Assets Equities dominate household portfolios in the U.S., Australia, and Sweden, but caution still rules in Europe and Japan, where cash and liquid assets remain king. Image: Goldman…