Economic Forecasts

U.S. Economic Forecasts Deutsche Bank expects the U.S. economy to sustain robust growth in 2026 and 2027, with core inflation steadily moving toward the Fed’s 2% target by the end of 2027 and unemployment slightly…

Valuation – MSCI World 12-Month Forward P/E

Valuation – MSCI World 12-Month Forward PE With valuations at 19.7 forward P/E, global stocks look expensive — not dot‑com crazy, but not exactly a bargain either. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 vs. Margin Debt

S&P 500 vs. Margin Debt Rising margin debt fuels rallies and reflects strong investor confidence, but once it slips below key trendlines like the 12‑month average, it flags fading risk appetite and growing market fragility.…

Average Post-Election Year for S&P 500

Average Post-Election Year for S&P 500 In post-election years, U.S. stocks often hit bottom by late October — before ripping higher into year-end, a seasonal gift Wall Street can’t resist. Image: Carson Investment Research

Seasonality – Average Daily Performance of the S&P 500

Seasonality – Average Daily Performance of the S&P 500 After October 27, retail optimism, corporate buybacks, and institutional repositioning can inject fresh energy into U.S. markets. For many traders, it’s the unofficial start of the…

Nasdaq 100 Index and 200-Day Moving Average

Nasdaq 100 Index and 200-Day Moving Average The Nasdaq 100 keeps ripping higher, but its widening gap from the 200-day average is starting to blink red for a possible 5%–10% pullback. Image: Bloomberg

Magnificent Seven Returns

Magnificent Seven Returns With one sector and seven giants driving the world’s biggest stock market, volatility isn’t going anywhere. Investors should brace for more swings in 2026. Image: Deutsche Bank

U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and U.S. Monetary Easing

U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and U.S. Monetary Easing Fed rate cuts don’t always spell a softer dollar. When viewed as a push to steady the economy, they can fuel near-term demand for the greenback. Image:…

Valuation – Shiller P/E and U.S. 10-Year Yield

Valuation – Shiller P/E and U.S. 10-Year Yield Sure, U.S. equities are expensive, but inflation and debt worries make bonds no easy refuge either. The smart move now? Stay selective, not scared. Image: Goldman Sachs…

Returns – Average Year for the S&P 500

Returns – Average Year for the S&P 500 October 27 has a curious pull on markets — a date when U.S. stocks often find a floor before seasonal inflows spark a late‑year surge. Image: Carson…

Median Global Real Return in USD by Asset Class

Median Global Real Return in USD by Asset Class While the 60/40 portfolio can’t match stocks in full bull mode, its long-run performance comes surprisingly close — a reminder that bonds still ground both risk…