S&P 500 Earnings Revision Breadth The relationship isn’t perfect, but S&P 500 EPS revision breadth has often led market moves, showing a strong historical link with the index’s six‑month trailing returns. Image: Goldman Sachs Global…
Valuation – S&P 500 Shiller Cyclically-Adjusted P/E Ratio vs. Model-Predicted P/E Ratio U.S. equities look expensive relative to both their own history and what today’s macro backdrop would normally justify. In past cycles, such stretches…
S&P 500 YoY EPS Growth Wall Street’s outlook for 2026 is bright, with analysts eyeing a 15% rise in S&P 500 earnings. While forecasts sound promising, markets often have surprises in store. Image: Goldman Sachs…
Risk Appetite Indicator Level and Momentum Factors Goldman Sachs’s Risk Appetite Indicator stays high, showing confidence remains strong across the market’s major players. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Sector Weights in the S&P 500 U.S. defensive sectors, excluding pharma and biotech, remain near their lowest share of the S&P 500 since 1990, even after a tech-led rotation nudged investors to trim some of…
Factset S&P 500 Annual Bottom Up EPS Actual and Estimates Forecast upgrades for 2026 and 2027 keep rolling in, giving the S&P 500 another reason to push higher. The bulls still have the wind at…
Valuations – 12-Month Fwd P/E Multiple. Worldscope Europe Sector Indices If you look at today’s valuation at 16.8x P/E and consensus revenues growth at around 9% annually, the risk of a slowdown in Software &…
S&P 500 Quarterly Earnings Growth Earnings growth in MCG and Tech is still outpacing the rest of the S&P 500 by a wide margin, which is not surprising given their strong fundamentals and innovation momentum.…
Interest Rates – Market Pricing for the Number of Fed Rate Cuts Traders still bet on two 25-basis-point Fed cuts in 2026, assuming the economy keeps its footing and inflation stays tame. Image: The Daily…
Nasdaq After the Netscape IPO and ChatGPT Came Out It’s not unusual for U.S. tech to lag in the third year after a big innovation, with the post‑Netscape years offering a perfect textbook case. Image:…
Valuation – Software Forward P/E Software valuations have come under heavy pressure, with the forward P/E multiple sliding to 20 times, a level investors haven’t seen since 2014. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research