Global Sector Fund Flows Over the past year, investors have poured into tech funds as AI euphoria, surging chip stocks and rising earnings forecasts strengthened the bull case. How much longer can the momentum last?…

S&P 500 Company Guidance vs. Consensus Growth Expectations The S&P 500 is on track for another quarter of solid earnings growth, led by tech. This quarter, growth is expected to spread to other sectors, too.…

Oil Prices Forecasts Oil prices eased in Q3 but remain high. For S&P 500 companies, the earnings hit is usually modest, as they pass on higher costs and cut spending. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

S&P 500 Performance 1-Year After Midterm Elections Midterm elections have been a reliable tailwind for stocks: the S&P 500 has risen over the following year every time since 1950, averaging a 14.8% gain. No doubt,…

S&P 500 Quarterly Earnings Growth S&P 500 earnings are expected to grow 34% year over year in Q3, a pace more typical of the early stages of an economic recovery. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

S&P 500 – Length of Bull Markets and When They Started Born in October 2022, this bull market is now four years old. Bulls are smiling: over the past 50 years, every bull market to…

S&P 500 vs. Its Seasonal Pattern The equal-weighted S&P 500 has followed the seasonal script closely, rebounding from its lows almost in step with the S&P 500’s typical pattern. Seasonality is now a tailwind for…

MCG & Tech vs. The Rest Earnings Growth Tech earnings are expected to surge in the third quarter, but even that may not be enough to lift the sector in the near term. Earnings expectations…

Investor Psychology Cycle Panic can push markets too far, too fast, creating opportunities for contrarians willing to buy when fear peaks. Euphoria is the other side of the trade, and often signals that it’s time…

S&P 500 Yearly Performance During Bull Markets Age alone is no reason to call time on a bull market. Bull markets that reach year four have more often than not delivered another strong year, averaging…

Earnings Sentiment – S&P 500, STOXX 600, Topix, MSCI EM Analysts have raised their S&P 500 earnings outlook in recent weeks, with resilient profits lifting market sentiment. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research