Forecast of Gold Prices If macro hedge accumulation picks up again and diversification away from Western assets accelerates, gold could climb to $5,700–$6,100. The recent pullback looks more like profit-taking than a shift in fundamentals.…
Median Short Interest Across Russell 3000 Stocks Median short interest across Russell 3000 stocks has jumped to multi‑year highs as bearish sentiment builds, raising the odds of a short squeeze. Too much shorting often ends…
Difference between Front-End Brent Crude Oil Futures and 6-Month Brent Futures Markets are betting the Middle East conflict will be short‑lived. Oil futures signal tight near‑term supply but confidence that disruptions will fade quickly. But…
Valuation – Average P/E for Stoxx Europe 600 and S&P 500 Investors finally returned to European equities after years of hesitation. But keeping them invested is becoming tougher, with Europe losing appeal as the U.S.…
Forward P/E Ratio and Subsequent 5-Year Annualized Returns With U.S. equities still priced for perfection, the next five years may bring thinner returns. These are exceptional businesses, but price matters. Even the strongest names can…
Distributions od Returns of World Tech vs. World ex. TMT The tech sector is facing a valuation reset this year after a long stretch of outsized gains fueled by AI enthusiasm and momentum trades. In…
PEG Ratio between Technology and Global Aggregate Market The tech sector’s slump is beginning to uncover compelling opportunities, with valuations now lagging behind the global aggregate market despite solid growth expectations. Times like these often…
S&P 500 Annualized Return per Day The 2026 playbook feels familiar: U.S. stocks push higher through midweek before traders take profits and trim exposure ahead of the weekend. It has become pretty much the market’s…
S&P 500 Intra-Year Declines vs. Calendar Year Returns On average, investors stomach drawdowns of around 14% a year, but the S&P 500 has still climbed in 35 of the past 46. That turbulence is part…
Estimated Share of S&P 500 EPS Growth AI infrastructure spending is expected to drive about 40% of S&P 500 earnings growth this year, and around 28% in 2027. It’s a strong tailwind for profits today,…
Valuation – Spread Between P/E of S&P 500 Information Technology Sector and S&P 500 After a sharp retreat from last year’s record highs, tech stocks are looking appealing again for investors ready to ride the…