S&P 500 3-Month Performance During an Election Year In Presidential election years, June to August stands out as the strongest 3-month period of the year. The S&P 500 has been up 75% of the time,…

Market – Geographical Breakdown of MSCI World Index Constituents The combined market capitalization of the Magnificent Seven would make it the second-largest country stock exchange globally. This would surpass the total value of many thriving…

Decomposition of S&P 500 Total Returns According to BofA, dividends are expected to play a larger role in S&P 500’s total returns in the future than they have over the past decade. Image: BofA US…

S&P 500 Performance One Year After >4% Monthly Gains Since 1950, the S&P 500 has never been lower a year after a monthly gain of over 4% in May. This period has been particularly profitable…

The U.S. Dollar As A Reserve Currency While the U.S. dollar’s status as the world’s reserve currency may evolve and share influence with other currencies, it is expected to remain a dominant currency for the…

S&P 500 Returns After >10% YTD End of May Bulls smile when the S&P 500 index has gained more than 10% after the first five months of the year, as the average return for the…

Returns for Small, Mid, and Large Caps U.S. small caps have a track record of outperforming larger companies over extended periods, with potential for a resurgence in performance based on valuation, profitability, and historical trends.…

Brent Oil Price Brent crude oil prices remain high relative to their levels five years ago, before the pandemic, reflecting past inflation’s impact. Image: J.P. Morgan

Performance – Best Performing Asset 33% of JPM clients expect developed market equities to perform the best over the next three months, driven by strong economic conditions and favorable market conditions. Image: J.P. Morgan

The 10Y-3M Yield Curve Although the U.S. 10Y-3M yield curve is not on the verge of uninverting, historical data suggests that the “uninversion” of the yield curve has been a reliable indicator of an impending…

Interest Rates – Central Bank Policy Rate Hikes vs. Cuts Emerging market central banks typically take the lead in initiating monetary tightening and easing cycles. In 2024, their approach has shifted away from aggressive easing.…