Gold Price vs. S&P 500

Gold Price vs. S&P 500 Since January 2022, gold has demonstrated a superior performance compared to U.S. stocks, particularly in the face of geopolitical uncertainty and rising inflation worldwide. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

S&P 500, U.S. 10-Year Yield and U.S. Dollar Index

S&P 500, U.S. 10-Year Yield and U.S. Dollar Index Peaks in the U.S. dollar and U.S. 10-year Treasury yields are seen as essential to catalyze a year-end rally in the S&P 500. Image: BofA Global…

Cash + T-bills % of AUM

Cash + T-bills % of AUM Will cash and T-bills serve as the driving force behind the bull markets of 2024? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

U.S. Housing Market – MBA Purchase Index

U.S. Housing Market – MBA Purchase Index Mortgage applications in the U.S. continue to decline due to a combination of high interest rates and elevated home prices, resulting in a 28-year low. Image: The Daily…

S&P 500 Index Valuation vs. Fed Funds Rate

S&P 500 Index Valuation vs. Fed Funds Rate Given that much of the stock market’s progress this year can be attributed to valuation expansion, it is likely that U.S. stocks will eventually experience a correction…

S&P 500 6-Month Seasonality

S&P 500 6-Month Seasonality November through April is considered the optimal 6-month period for the S&P 500, as historical analysis suggests stronger performance compared to the other six months of the year. Image: BofA Global…

10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Less CPI

10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Less CPI Given investors’ historic tendency to demand a 200 basis point premium over inflation rates, could rates rise further? Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

Importance of Macro Driver in Explaining Returns

Importance of Macro Driver in Explaining Returns Higher real 10-year UST yields can potentially lead to a decrease in U.S. stock returns, but other factors should also be considered. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research