Hyperscaler Capex Hyperscaler capex is on track to jump to about $540 billion in 2026 and $630 billion in 2027. But the spending boom is losing steam, and that cooling trend could put pressure on…

Purchasing Power Preservation of Different Investments (S&P 500, Bonds, Gold, Real Estate) Gold keeps its shine, but since 1928, U.S. stocks have sparkled brighter. The longer the horizon, the more momentum favors productive assets. Image:…

S&P 500 Index Returns and Santa Claus Rally Santa Claus skipped Wall Street this year, and for the bulls, that’s often a warning the new year may bring choppier trading. Will this time be any…

Median S&P 500 Stock Short Interest as % of Market Capitalization Short interest for the median S&P 500 stock remains elevated, climbing to 2.7%. The rise, though, appears driven more by hedging activity than by…

Bitcoin Price and Moving Averages Bitcoin’s recovery above its 50-day moving average after sharp drops like the one in early October 2025 typically signals the start of a potential reversal or at least a move…

S&P 500 Drawdown to Subsequent Three-Year Trough When U.S. equity valuations soar and just a handful of giants drive the gains, history rarely smiles and often follows with sharp corrections or years of going nowhere.…

Cash to Total Assets S&P 500 and S&P 500 Ex-Financials The corporate cash cushion is thinning. S&P 500 firms have slashed their reserves from pandemic peaks, redirecting capital toward AI infrastructure, growth projects, and buybacks…

Share of S&P 500 Annual Return Contributed by the 10 Largest Stocks In 2025, just 10 stocks generated more than half of the S&P 500’s gains, a reminder that the market’s engine is running on…

S&P 500 Gains Between 8-10% Are Quite Rare Going back to 1950, the S&P 500 has rarely delivered average returns in any given year. Will 2026 keep the winning streak alive with another year of…

Market-Implied Probability of a Recession Starting Within 1 Year and Market-Implied Probability of Being in a Recession The current market-implied probability of a U.S. recession within the next 12 months is 18%, slightly higher than…

Median Monthly Flow into Equity Mutual Funds and ETFs as a % of Total AUM Equity flows usually pick up in the new year amid the “January effect,” when investors return with renewed confidence and…