S&P 500 Quarterly YoY EPS Growth Relative to Consensus Expectations Consensus sees S&P 500 earnings rising 22% year on year in 2Q 2026, driven largely by strong tech profits. Once again, tech is carrying the…
S&P 500 Annual Highs Per Month Do not tell the bears that the S&P 500 has never peaked in June. Every other month has, at least once since 1950. If history is any guide, the…
U.S. Heavy Truck Sales and Recessions (Leading Indicator) U.S. heavy truck sales rose in June to 483K (annualized). Before recessions, heavy trucks sales tend to peak and then decline, providing insights into the overall health…
VIX and S&P 500 Seasonality The VIX and the S&P 500 usually move in opposite directions. As volatility rises from late July into the autumn months, the period often proves challenging for U.S. stocks. Image:…
S&P 500 in Gold Terms The S&P 500 priced in gold, often used to track real strength versus currency debasement, broke sharply higher three months ago, pointing to a shift toward stronger risk appetite. Image:…
Where Every S&P 500 Dollar Goes 18 cents of every S&P 500 dollar now goes to semiconductors, 33 cents to the Mag 7, and 40 cents to the ten largest holdings. Passive money does not…
Cash Held by U.S. Households Equity inflows are drawing support from the cash buffers U.S. households amassed during the pandemic, with a large share of those savings yet to be deployed. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset…
Hyperscaler Capex, EBITDA and Net Buybacks Hyperscaler capex is outpacing earnings and starting to bite. Buybacks are slipping as cash is redirected into AI infrastructure, setting up a tradeoff: more upside later, less cash in…
Gold Futures Gold’s 2026 gains have evaporated as sentiment flipped from rate cuts to higher-for-longer expectations. A stronger U.S. dollar is adding pressure, while forced selling to cover losses elsewhere is accelerating the selloff. Image:…
Cumulative Global Equity Fund Flows Across Regions U.S. equity inflows are holding up well and have picked up pace in recent months, adding fuel to the market’s upward momentum. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 – First Half of July Seasonality favors the bulls. Since 1928, the S&P 500 has advanced 69% of the time in the first half of July, with the Nasdaq 100…