Stocks – Dow Jones with Major Geopolitical Events While geopolitical events can cause short-term market volatility, historical evidence shows that U.S. stocks tend to recover and grow over the long term. Image: Carson Investment Research
Gold Speculative Positions Speculative positioning in gold has declined sharply in recent weeks, driven by profit-taking, risk repricing, and rotation into other asset classes. Image: J.P. Morgan
Valuation – S&P 500 NTM P/E Investors assign a higher earnings multiple to the S&P 500 market cap-weighted index than to the equal-weight index, reflecting a clear preference for the growth potential and market dominance…
Global Stocks – MSCI ACWI Index Resilient economic data, a softer stance on tariffs, and optimism in technology sectors have driven global stocks to new highs, even as trade jitters persist. Image: Bloomberg
Global Risk Sentiment Indicators Sentiment indicators suggest a “Goldilocks” scenario for risk appetite—investors are cautiously optimistic, but not exuberant or fearful. Image: TS Lombard
Nominal 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield and Indexed Return of Cyclicals vs. Defensives Higher growth expectations raise bond yields because investors demand greater compensation for potential inflation and uncertainty about future interest rates. Image: Goldman Sachs…
S&P 500 EPS Median stock EPS growth is expected to remain robust and improve in the second half of 2025, though the pace of growth may be somewhat slower than the strong gains seen earlier…
S&P 500 Price Target for 2025 Citing diminished tariff effects and a resilient U.S. economy, Deutsche Bank has increased its year-end S&P 500 forecast to 6,550, up from 6,150. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Gold Price Seasonality June has been a challenging month for gold investors over the past five decades, delivering the lowest hit rate and the second-worst overall performance. Image: Topdown Charts
Fed Funds Rate and Fed Funds Futures Deutsche Bank expects the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points at its meetings in December 2025, January 2026, and March 2026, bringing the federal funds rate…
S&P 500 Sectors Announced Buybacks (Last 3 Months) The Information Technology, Financials, and Communication Services sectors have been the primary sources of stock buyback announcements in the US market over the past three months. Image:…