U.S. Unemployment Rate Forecast According to Deutsche Bank, a mild recession in the United States may result in a modestly higher unemployment rate than what is anticipated by both consensus and the Federal Reserve. Image:…

S&P 500 – Average / Median Return by Month January typically emerges as one of the most favorable months for S&P 500 returns. However, February and March often experience a notable decline in returns, presenting…

January’s Historical Returns Throughout history, the performance of the U.S. stock market in the month of January has often served as a reliable indicator for the overall trajectory of the market for the rest of…

20% Yearly Gains for the S&P 500 Index and What Happened Next A significant annual gain of 20% in the S&P 500 index is often indicative of continued positive performance in the following year, with…

S&P 500 Operating Margin After the COVID-19 pandemic, the operating margins of companies in the S&P 500 have returned to a state of normalcy, leading to a positive trend of improved profitability and cash flows…

S&P 500 Composite in Elections Years and Election Years When >10% Gains in Previous Year Given the Fed’s interest rate projections, market sentiment indicators and historical market behavior, investors may reasonably expect the S&P 500…

S&P 500 Annual Chart Despite an impressive 24.2% gain in 2023, the S&P 500 index has done virtually nothing over the past two years. When adjusted for inflation, it is still significantly below its peak.…

Range of U.S. GDP YoY Growth Forecasts and Maximum Error over 12-Month Prior While the U.S. economy may avoid a recession in 2024, U.S. GDP forecast dispersion remains at high levels, highlighting the inherent uncertainty…

Cumulative Asset Flows in % of AUM Terms In 2023, there has been a notable trend of strong inflows into “risk-free” assets, indicating a growing preference for low-risk investment options in an environment of higher…

S&P 500 Average Return per Day In 2023, U.S. stocks have experienced high performance on Mondays and Fridays. The strong performance of the S&P 500 on Fridays reflects investor optimism and confidence in holding over…

S&P 500 – Margin Debt vs. Long-Term Trend A rise in the ratio of margin debt to the S&P 500 market cap could indicate a bullish outlook for the U.S. stock market, potentially signaling confidence…