S&P 500 and Monthly MACD

S&P 500 and Monthly MACD The overall trend of the S&P 500 is upward, as indicated by the rising 12-month moving average, and the positive signal from the MACD further supports this notion. Image: BofA…

S&P 500 Realized Volatility During Recession

S&P 500 Realized Volatility During Recession During recessions, there is often increased uncertainty and risk aversion among investors, which can lead to higher levels of volatility in the U.S. stock market. Image: BofA Global Research

Real Adjusted Price of Gold

Real Adjusted Price of Gold While the nominal price of gold has increased since the 1980 peak, when adjusted for inflation, the real price of gold is actually lower today compared to its high in…

10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield

10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield U.S. yields are likely to be lower in 2024, which could potentially support a cyclical bull bond market. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

U.S. Nominal GDP Less Government Budget Deficit

U.S. Nominal GDP Less Government Budget Deficit While fiscal spending in the United States has the potential to boost GDP growth, it is important to carefully consider the long-term implications and trade-offs associated with such…

S&P 500 Performance After a Monthly Gain of >8%

S&P 500 Performance After a Monthly Gain of >8% Historically, when the S&P 500 gains more than 8% in a month, it tends to perform well in the following 12 months. On average, it has…

Cumulative Fund Flows

Cumulative Fund Flows When “risk-free” rates are high, investors prefer low-risk assets as the higher returns from “risk-free” investments make them more appealing, reducing the attractiveness of riskier assets. Image: BofA Global Research

S&P 500 Max Drawdown During Recessions

S&P 500 Max Drawdown During Recessions Recessions can have a significant impact on stocks, causing pain for investors, with the majority of losses occurring within the actual recession period. Image: BofA Global Research

Flow – % Share of Rolling One-Month ETF Inflows

Flow – % Share of Rolling One-Month ETF Inflows Investors continue to put their money into large and mid-cap equity funds, as evidenced by their behavior reflected in ETF flows over the past month. Image:…