Valuation – MSCI World 12-Month Forward PE With valuations at 19.7 forward P/E, global stocks look expensive — not dot‑com crazy, but not exactly a bargain either. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 vs. Margin Debt Rising margin debt fuels rallies and reflects strong investor confidence, but once it slips below key trendlines like the 12‑month average, it flags fading risk appetite and growing market fragility.…
Average Post-Election Year for S&P 500 In post-election years, U.S. stocks often hit bottom by late October — before ripping higher into year-end, a seasonal gift Wall Street can’t resist. Image: Carson Investment Research
Seasonality – Average Daily Performance of the S&P 500 After October 27, retail optimism, corporate buybacks, and institutional repositioning can inject fresh energy into U.S. markets. For many traders, it’s the unofficial start of the…
Nasdaq 100 Index and 200-Day Moving Average The Nasdaq 100 keeps ripping higher, but its widening gap from the 200-day average is starting to blink red for a possible 5%–10% pullback. Image: Bloomberg
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and U.S. Monetary Easing Fed rate cuts don’t always spell a softer dollar. When viewed as a push to steady the economy, they can fuel near-term demand for the greenback. Image:…
Valuation – Shiller P/E and U.S. 10-Year Yield Sure, U.S. equities are expensive, but inflation and debt worries make bonds no easy refuge either. The smart move now? Stay selective, not scared. Image: Goldman Sachs…
Returns – Average Year for the S&P 500 October 27 has a curious pull on markets — a date when U.S. stocks often find a floor before seasonal inflows spark a late‑year surge. Image: Carson…
Median Global Real Return in USD by Asset Class While the 60/40 portfolio can’t match stocks in full bull mode, its long-run performance comes surprisingly close — a reminder that bonds still ground both risk…
CTAs Exposure to Equities Over the past four weeks, CTAs have tactically reduced equity exposure — down from the 90th to 75th percentile — cashing in gains across markets. Even so, they’re still notably long,…
Sector Contribution to S&P 500 EPS Growth Earnings for Q3 2025 are tracking close to the 8.5% S&P 500 EPS growth consensus, driven largely by the tech and financial heavyweights — a sign that this…