Bond Volatility – MOVE Index
Bond Volatility – MOVE Index With the MOVE index trending lower, U.S. rate volatility has cooled, which brings a dose of relief to bond desks and, by extension, the economy. It’s definitely a welcome breather…
60/40 Portfolio Monthly Return Decomposition
60/40 Portfolio Monthly Return Decomposition The classic 60/40 portfolio slid 3.7% in March as stocks and bonds dropped in tandem. Such lockstep declines aren’t unusual when markets brace for higher prices or sticky inflation ahead.…
Positioning Across Sector Groups
Positioning Across Sector Groups Investors are keeping exposure light across most sectors, with only Energy and Utilities still drawing interest. That’s hardly surprising, as Energy remains the market’s only bright spot. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset…
S&P 500 Monthly Performance the Past 20 Years
S&P 500 Monthly Performance the Past 20 Years This year’s conflict in the Middle East has clouded the outlook, but history still favors the bulls: April has rewarded U.S. stocks 80% of the time over…
S&P 500 – 13-Week and 26-Week Moving Average
S&P 500 – 13-Week and 26-Week Moving Average The S&P 500 remains in a bull trend with the 13-week moving average still above the 26-week, but the gap has narrowed enough to raise caution. Image:…
Number of Consecutive Negative Weeks for the S&P 500
Number of Consecutive Negative Weeks for the S&P 500 Five straight weeks of declines might rattle investors, but history reminds us that such runs often mark turning points rather than lasting downturns. Markets often rebound…
Thursday Losing Streaks for the S&P 500
S&P 500 Weekly Losing Streaks If the S&P 500 ends in the red today, it would mark a record 10th consecutive losing Thursday. But the last trading day before Good Friday has a habit of…
Gold Price Forecast
Gold Price Forecast Goldman Sachs is holding firm on its bullish gold call, reaffirming a December 2026 target of $5,400 an ounce even as recent volatility and bouts of profit-taking test investor nerves. Image: Goldman…
Global Monetary Policy Stimulus and Global Manufacturing PMI
Global Monetary Policy Stimulus and Global Manufacturing PMI The dominant macro theme for 2026 remains a global growth rebound, powered by two years of aggressive monetary easing that have set the stage for renewed economic…
Investors Intelligence Bull-Bear Spread and S&P 500
Investors Intelligence Bull-Bear Spread and S&P 500 Bulls are slipping out the side door. Over the past decade, every sustained S&P 500 gain came when the II bull‑bear spread topped 20%. That kind of conviction…
Valuations – 12-Month Forward P/E Ranges (MSCI Regions)
Valuations – 12-Month Forward P/E Ranges (MSCI Regions) Despite the pullback, U.S. and global equity valuations remain elevated, with earnings momentum carrying the load. As long as companies keep delivering, those rich multiples may continue…