Months That S&P 500 Index Bear (and Near Bear) Markets End U.S. stocks have demonstrated a tendency to reach their lowest point of decline during the month of October, a pattern that has been observed…
U.S. Average Credit Card Rate Record-high credit card interest charges indicate significant financial burdens for cardholders, which can have important implications for both individual cardholders and the broader U.S. economy. Image: The Daily Shot
Sentiment – S&P 500 Performance After CBOE Put/Call Ratio Spikes of > 1.5 As a contrarian indicator, a high put/call ratio can be interpreted as a signal that the market may be nearing a bottom,…
What Is Your Current Equity Positioning or Sentiment in Historical Terms? The sentiment among JPMorgan clients as a whole is not optimistic when it comes to equities. Image: J.P. Morgan
Return – Austria 100-Year Bond Despite significant prior returns, the 100-year Austrian government bond’s long-term nature increased its susceptibility to interest rate fluctuations, resulting in the crash. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
GDP Consensus Forecasts Optimistic U.S. GDP forecasts suggest that there is confidence in the underlying strength of the U.S. economy. Image: BofA Global Research
Asset Class Quilt of Total Returns Despite experiencing a significant selloff, the S&P 500 has managed to maintain its position as the top-performing asset since the start of the year, outperforming other investment options in…
Valuation – MSCI U.S. 12-Month Forward P/E Relative to MSCI World Ex. U.S. There is a prevailing sentiment suggesting that U.S. equity valuations are not currently appealing. Image: J.P. Morgan
Recession – U.S. Banks Reporting Increased Willingness to Lend to Consumers With the growing reluctance of banks to provide loans to consumers, there is a concerning implication for the state of the U.S. economy. Image:…
S&P 500 EPS Yield – IG Yield vs. TTM Buyback Yield Higher borrowing costs can discourage companies from engaging in stock buybacks. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
U.S. Initial Jobless Claims The U.S.’s sustained period of low initial jobless claims indicates a stable labor market. This is a positive development showing resilience in the economy and providing hope for continued growth. Image:…