S&P 500 Returns Around the End of Fed Hiking Cycles In recent history, U.S. stocks tend to rally if there is no recession following the end of Fed hiking cycles. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment…
Cumulative Quarterly Inflow to Cash Cash is making a strong comeback as interest rates rise. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
S&P 500 Returns After a 7% Gain in the First Quarter Since 1954, when the S&P 500 gained more than 7% in the first quarter, bears cried and bulls smiled throughout the year. Image: Carson…
Big Tech Stocks % of S&P 500 Market Capitalization Will the weight of big tech stocks in the S&P 500 continue to decline in 2023? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
WTI Oil Price vs. CPI Inflation (Leading Indicator) Oil prices tend to lead U.S. CPI inflation by 6 months. Image: Alpine Macro
S&P 500 ERP and S&P 500 Fwd vs. Trailing EPS The S&P 500 looks unattractive until the equity risk premium increases. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Dividend Yield Global ex-U.S. equities continue to offer higher dividend yields than U.S. equities. Image: Topdown Charts
FAAMG vs. S&P 500 and Remaining 495 Companies Will FAAMG’s outperformance persist in a stagflation environment? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
A History of Global Recessions and Causes Historically, banking crises, wars and pandemics cause global recessions. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Recession – Net % of Banks Reporting Stronger Demand vs. Tightening Standards Will the credit crunch lead to a recession in the United States? Image: Alpine Macro
Russell 2000 / S&P 500 vs. ISM Manufacturing PMI (Leading Indicator) The performance of U.S. small caps relative to the S&P 500 suggests a decline in the ISM Manufacturing PMI. Image: Morgan Stanley Research