Seasonality – S&P 500 Cycle Composite for 2025

Seasonality – S&P 500 Cycle Composite for 2025 Early November weakness hasn’t derailed the bulls. Seasonal tailwinds, strong earnings, and steady inflows are lining up behind a potential year-end rally in the S&P 500. Image:…

Consensus Capex Growth Estimates

Consensus Capex Growth Estimates Heading into 2026, hyperscale AI players face the prospect of a sharp pullback in capital spending, likely putting fresh strain on valuations. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Citi U.S. Earnings Revision Index and S&P 500 Index

Citi U.S. Earnings Revision Index and S&P 500 Index The S&P 500’s bull market remains firmly in place, with upside potential into 2026 fueled by earnings upgrades and upbeat corporate guidance. Image: Bloomberg

Margin Debt to U.S. Market Cap

Margin Debt to U.S. Market Cap While margin debt has been rising, its share of total U.S. market value still sits at manageable levels. That keeps leverage risks in check and suggests investors could take…

S&P 500 After Four Months Above the 50-Day MA Ends

S&P 500 After Four Months Above the 50-Day MA Ends A break below the 50-day moving average after four months of strength might set off alarm bells, but history has usually rewarded patience. The S&P…

NYSE Margin Debt and S&P 500

NYSE Margin Debt and S&P 500 Margin debt on the NYSE has seen the second fastest spike on record over the past six months. Spikes in margin debt at a much faster pace than broad…

U.S. Equity Volatility vs. Credit Volatility

U.S. Equity Volatility vs. Credit Volatility Credit markets are calm, with volatility running below its long-term average, but equity volatility tells a different story, pointing to a more anxious tone in stocks. Image: Fundstrat Global…

Rolling 6-Month % Change in the S&P 500

Rolling 6-Month % Change in the S&P 500 Following a six-month rally that sent the S&P 500 soaring 23% through October 2025, investors are beginning to wonder if the market still has fuel in the…