Buybacks – S&P 500 Companies in Blackout Period S&P 500 companies are heading into their blackout window ahead of earnings season, a period when buyback activity tends to fade—though not completely disappear—for the next few…

Survey – 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yields While expectations tilt toward falling 10-year U.S. Treasury yields, plenty of voices argue for a rise, citing everything from sticky inflation to uncertain rate cuts and uneven economic growth.…

Equities – Global Valuation Range U.S. stocks remain priced at a hefty premium, while valuations outside the U.S. are closer to historical norms. That leaves global markets offering stronger relative value, even if they’re not…

S&P 500 Performance Around First Fed Cut When the U.S. economy grows and monetary easing comes without recession risk, large-cap equities usually lead, fueled by lower borrowing costs, rising profitability, and stable economic conditions. Image:…

S&P 500 Compared to Its 200-Day Moving Average With the S&P 500 sitting 10% above its 200-day moving average, the market looks firmly bullish, suggesting more upside potential until a local peak around 13–15% above…

S&P 500 Quarterly Returns Seasonality tends to favor the bulls into year-end. Going back to 1950, the S&P 500 has gained more than 4% on average in the fourth quarter, posting positive returns 80% of…

S&P 500 Trend Channel Deutsche Bank is sticking with its call for the S&P 500 to hit 7,000 by year-end 2025, betting on strong earnings momentum, steady corporate buybacks, and firm investor appetite. Image: Deutsche…

Market Breadth – Percent Below 52-Week High S&P 500 Index Less Median Stock The rebound in the S&P 500’s 52-week market breadth suggests the rally could extend into year-end, buoyed by wider participation, looser monetary…

S&P 500 Valuation Multiples With S&P 500 earnings estimates running high and valuations stretched, the risk is that any earnings or economic disappointment could trigger sharp market volatility. Image: Real Investment Advice

Scatter Plot Returns of P/E Multiples and S&P 500 1-Year Returns The weak link between the P/E ratio and the S&P 500’s one-year performance shows why investors are better off keeping their eyes on the…

S&P 500 and Nasdaq vs. 1996-2001 Analog With policy easing expected to run into 2026, will U.S. equities continue to mirror the boom years of 1996 to 2001? Image: Alpine Macro