U.S. Share Buyback Authorization Announcements Buybacks are fueling the rally on Wall Street, with U.S. authorizations exceeding a record $860 billion since the start of the year and reinforcing a strong floor for equities. Image:…
The IPO Fade – % Change from Day-One Peak by Cohort Buying into the SpaceX IPO is a bet on hype as much as fundamentals, and history points to a volatile debut. Early investors should…
S&P 500 Performance After Day 100 Is Up >9% YTD Momentum, once built, rarely fades quickly. When the S&P 500 is up more than 9% by day 100, the rest of the year has historically…
U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield vs. Brent Oil Future Markets have treated oil and yields as a pair trade since the Middle East conflict began. Hopes of a peace deal could keep the oil-driven move in…
Semiconductors vs. Consensus Fwd 12m EPS Semiconductor stocks have rallied faster than analysts have raised near-term earnings estimates, leaving valuations stretched relative to short-term fundamentals. The easy upside appears largely exhausted. Image: Goldman Sachs Global…
S&P 500 – Corrections vs. Bear Markets The S&P 500 now stands roughly 83% above its long-term trend, with the Shiller CAPE close to 42. Even a 20% selloff would fall short of signaling a…
Estimated S&P 500 EPS and Y/Y Growth Goldman Sachs is betting the earnings strength has legs, forecasting S&P 500 EPS growth of 24% in 2026 to $340, followed by 13% in 2027 to $385. If…
Indexed Market Cap and Consensus Fwd 12m EPS Estimates for S&P 500 Companies Earnings momentum is driving the AI infrastructure complex’s outperformance so far this year, with capital flowing to names that are already translating…
Weight of Top 10 Positions in Median Hedge Fund Long Portfolio Hedge fund portfolio density is now at 72% and holding firm, with greater concentration in top 10 positions. Such concentration leaves markets vulnerable to…
Annual U.S. Equity Issuance as % of Russell 3000 Market Cap “$600 billion in U.S. equity issuance in 2026” grabs attention and feeds the doom narrative. But relative to the total value of U.S. equities,…
New S&P 500 Index All-Time Highs Per Year The S&P 500 has now reached 19 record highs this year. In strong bull markets, new highs tend to come in clusters and often run longer than…