CAPE Valuations and 10 Year Annualized Real Return The CAPE10 ratio has rarely stood this high. If past patterns hold, investors could be facing negative real returns over the coming ten years. Image: Real Investment…
S&P 500 Annual Performance Based On What The First Five Days Do A bullish start to the year for the S&P 500 lifts investor spirits. When the index is up more than 1% in the…
S&P 500 Seasonality While seasonality in the S&P 500 always tells a story, midterm years rank as the weakest in the four-year presidential cycle but still deliver positive returns more often than not. Image: Goldman…
Average S&P 500 Performance Around Bear Markets and Corrections U.S. stocks have a history of pushing higher toward bull market peaks before eventually pulling back. In such periods, corrections tend to be brief, with rebounds…
U.S. Stock Market Valuations – Combined P/E Ratio U.S. tech stocks continue to trade at a steep premium versus the rest of the market, despite the recent pullback. Supportive fiscal and monetary winds could help…
Fear & Greed Index – Investor Sentiment With the Fear & Greed Index sitting at 46, sentiment looks balanced, giving the S&P 500 some breathing room to push higher. Image: Cable News Network
MSCI World EPS Analysts are raising MSCI AC World EPS forecasts for 2026 as confidence builds in stronger global growth and sharper efficiency gains from technology and AI. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Risk Appetite Indicator Level and Momentum Factors Goldman Sachs’s Risk Appetite Indicator shows investors remain comfortable taking on risk, chasing steady returns with few signs of overheating. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
AAII Sentiment Survey Momentum among U.S. retail investors is holding strong, with AAII bulls outpacing bears for the sixth week straight. Image: The Daily Chartbook
NAAIM Exposure Index – Investor Sentiment At 97.72 on the NAAIM Exposure Index, active managers are staying heavy in U.S. stocks, convinced momentum still has room to run. The National Association of Active Investment Managers Exposure Index…
S&P 500 Earnings and Estimates Optimism for 2026 earnings remains high after years of market gains and profit growth, but history shows confidence tends to waver once forecasts meet reality. Image: Real Investment Advice