Investor Sentiment – U.S. Market Greed/Fear Index The Greed and Fear Index now stands at 72.64, back in greed territory. While the current decline may have further to run, it still looks like a pullback…
S&P 500 Returns After >19% in Two Months Since the late-March lows, the S&P 500 has rallied more than 19%. In similar rebounds, stocks have typically pushed higher over one-, three-, six-, and twelve-month horizons,…
Sentiment Indicator and Stock Positioning Goldman Sachs’ U.S. Equity Sentiment Indicator sits near neutral at 0.2. Past instances at these levels have typically been followed by a 0.8% rise in the S&P 500 over the…
Insider Transactions Ratio Corporate insiders are returning to the buy side, driving the Insider Transactions Ratio into bullish territory. Historically, such moves have been an early signal of improving market tone. Image: Barron’s
Crypto Fund Flows Crypto funds have suffered sustained outflows over the past month, with Bitcoin vehicles accounting for the bulk of the selling as investors step back from the space. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
U.S. Equity Index P/E Valuations vs. History There is little evidence of risk appetite fading. The Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000 both trade at 26 times forward earnings, with the S&P 500 at 21. Multiples…
AAII Sentiment Survey U.S. retail investors are still on the sidelines despite the S&P 500 hitting new highs. The AAII bull-bear spread is stuck in negative territory for the third consecutive week. Persistent caution like…
Mega-Cap Growth & Tech Positioning Mega-cap growth and tech positioning sits in the 97th percentile, a crowded overweight trade that looks fragile as tailwinds fade. That leaves little margin for disappointment Image: Deutsche Bank Asset…
Equity Positioning Overall equity positioning sits in the 65th percentile, pointing to a modest overweight. At the same time, crowding in large caps, especially tech, has intensified, leaving the market more fragile when momentum rolls…
S&P 500 Price Target for 2026 Goldman Sachs is betting that steady earnings growth will push the S&P 500 up 17% in 2026 to 8,000, even as markets hit occasional turbulence. Image: Goldman Sachs Global…
S&P 500 Annual vs. Intra-Year Returns The S&P 500 tends to see a 5% to 10% pullback at least once a year, and with a double-digit drop already logged in March, the next dip may…