Investor Sentiment – U.S. Market Greed/Fear Index Following the SpaceX IPO, retail investors piled back into equities, sending the Greed and Fear Index to 79.46 and into extreme greed territory. Image: Real Investment Advice
Consolidated Equity Positioning Consolidated equity positioning sits in the 42nd percentile, still far from crowded and leaving plenty of room for further upside. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Forecast of Gold Prices Goldman Sachs slashed its year-end gold forecast by $500 an ounce as expectations for Fed easing in 2026 faded. The new $4,900 December target still leaves room for second-half gains. Image:…
Insider Transactions Ratio With buying and selling now in balance, the Insider Transactions Ratio has returned to neutral territory. Corporate insiders are largely on the sidelines, showing little conviction either way. Image: Barron’s
S&P 500 – Margin Debt Expansion vs. Contraction Margin debt is climbing into territory that makes investors uneasy, edging deeper into what many view as the danger zone. Momentum remains on the bulls’ side for…
Price Return in 2026 The median stock in each region is lagging this year, with gains concentrated in a narrow group of heavyweight tech names. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
AAII Sentiment Survey The S&P 500 is near record high, but U.S. retail investors are not buying in with conviction. The AAII bull-bear spread has edged higher, but it remains negative for the fifth consecutive…
ROE for Mega-Cap Tech and the Rest of the S&P 500 Mega-cap tech’s return on equity is expected to face headwinds and decline through 2028, while the rest of the S&P 500 sees ROE trending…
NAAIM Exposure Index – Investor Sentiment At 92.83, the NAAIM Exposure Index shows active managers are all-in on risk, a sign of firm belief in U.S. equities. Bulls remain firmly in control. The National Association of…
S&P 500 Technical Composite A composite of technical breadth measures flags the S&P 500 below neutral, leaving upside potential on the table. Image: MarketDesk Research
Margin Debt as Percentage of M2 (Measure of Leverage) Leverage amplifies gains in rising markets but reveals fragility when sentiment turns. Margin debt relative to the money supply is running hot, echoing levels last seen…