Top 10 Mega Caps and Bottom 440 Stocks In the S&P 500, the top 10 stocks carry so much weight that they impact the index nearly as much as the bottom 440 together, showing how…

S&P 500 and Trend Channel Deutsche Bank lifted its S&P 500 year-end 2025 forecast to 7,000 from 6,550, projecting an 8% increase on the back of solid earnings, resilient equity demand, and sustained buybacks. Image:…

Valuation – S&P 500 Forward P/E Multiple The S&P 500 forward P/E ratio is expected to remain near 22 over the next year, supported by imminent Fed rate cuts. Lower interest rates should help sustain…

Average U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Performance in Fed Rate Cut Cycles Fed rate cuts usually push down short-term interest rates, but long-term U.S. Treasury yields do not always move in parallel. Market expectations around inflation,…

Seven Largest Companies as Share of S&P 500 Total Market Capitalization The seven largest stocks in the S&P 500 make up 34% of the index’s total market capitalization. Although such a high concentration doesn’t guarantee…

Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions Temporary Help Services Jobs stand at -2.91% YoY in August. The relationship between Temporary Help Services jobs and the macroeconomy is complex. Declines in Temporary…

S&P 500 Buyback Yield While S&P 500 share buybacks remain significant, their impact on reducing share counts and boosting returns to shareholders is diminishing compared to past years. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Market-Implied U.S. Recession Probability The market-implied probability of a U.S. recession within one year is modestly elevated but not extremely high. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 Index A softer-than-expected PPI reading sent the U.S. stock market to a new record high yesterday, increasing bets on a Fed rate cut next week. Image: Bloomberg

S&P 500 – U.S. Broad Market Net Forward Profit Margin Elevated profit margins in the U.S. broad market, which continue to show forward-looking expansion, point to underlying economic resilience and do not align with the…

Top 10 Mega Cap Stocks as % of S&P 500 The growing dominance of the top 10 companies in the S&P 500 has raised concerns about whether the index still provides sufficient diversification, given the…