S&P 500 Index and Technical Score
S&P 500 Index and Technical Score At 76.18, the S&P 500’s technical setup still leans bullish. A brief pause wouldn’t shock anyone, but momentum is clearly on the bulls’ side heading into the year-end rally.…
S&P 500 Index and Technical Score At 76.18, the S&P 500’s technical setup still leans bullish. A brief pause wouldn’t shock anyone, but momentum is clearly on the bulls’ side heading into the year-end rally.…
The Santa Claus Rally – S&P 500 Index Returns A festive Santa Claus rally has often paved the way for a strong January and solid year ahead, leaving investors feeling like kids on Christmas Day!…
Insider Transactions Ratio Insider buying continues to keep pace with selling, holding the insider ratio steady in neutral. Image: Barron’s
S&P 500 Price Target for 2026 Goldman Sachs is sticking with its call for the S&P 500 to hit 7,600 by end-2026, betting on a friendlier Fed, steady profit growth and investors staying comfortable with…
Valuation – S&P 500 Index Long-Term P/E Ratio The S&P 500’s long-term P/E ratio has surged to record highs, leaving investors with little buffer against bad news and making the market more vulnerable to economic…
Probability of U.S. Recession Calculated from the Yield Curve The probability of U.S. recession in 12 months, calculated from the yield curve, stands at 21.4%. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Valuation – 12-Month Forward P/E Ranges (MSCI Regions) Investors may see more upside in 2026, supported by ongoing economic growth and corporate earnings, but rich valuations across global markets suggest a thinner margin for error.…
Impact of U.S. Quarter-Over-Quarter Annualized GDP Growth Momentum looks set to build for the U.S. economy in 2026, driven by fading tariffs, fresh tax cuts, and easier financial conditions. Still, inflation remains the wildcard that…
Small Cap Equity Positioning Small caps are back in favor as investors crowd in, pushing positioning to a moderate 58th percentile and leaving room for more upside. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
U.S. Household Wealth Stock market gains over the past six years have boosted U.S. household wealth and powered consumer spending, while also heightening vulnerability if markets fall. Image: Deutsche Bank
Investor Sentiment – U.S. Market Greed/Fear Index The Greed and Fear Index has climbed to 80.68, showing markets running hot as investors chase the continuing rally. Image: Real Investment Advice