Forward 10-Year Real Returns and CAPE Valuations Markets run on hope and momentum until history reminds investors how quickly fever can break. When valuations stretch too far, only discipline and diversification keep portfolios above water…
S&P 500 Returns – U.S. Presidents That Made It Six Years In Office There’s fresh fuel for the 2026 bulls: the sixth year of a presidency has been pure upside for U.S. stocks, with average…
Seasonality – Monthly Return Stats for the S&P 500 For many investors, January’s performance in the U.S. market feels as unpredictable as a coin toss, but since 1964 it has still delivered an average gain…
Median 2-Week S&P 500 Returns U.S. stocks have a track record of kicking off the first half of January on a strong note, fueled by fresh investor optimism and a burst of buying after the…
Global Debt Hits a Fresh Record Global debt keeps climbing, set to breach $350 trillion this year. A reminder that fiscal discipline and global coordination remain crucial to preventing financial shocks. Image: International Monetary Fund
Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index The U.S. dollar slid through 2025, on pace for its steepest annual drop since 2017. The weaker greenback is easing pressure on emerging‑market borrowers with dollar debt and lifting dollar‑denominated commodities.…
New York Fed GDP Nowcast The New York Fed nudged its Q1 2026 U.S. GDP Nowcast slightly higher to 2.17% from 2.11% a week earlier, a modest lift that keeps the soft‑but‑steady growth narrative alive.…
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day After a roaring year for the S&P 500, bears are sick of 2025, fed up like cats on bath day, and now they’re charging after bulls as if it’s their…
Market Breadth – Percent Below 52-Week High S&P 500 Index Less Median Stock Market breadth across the S&P 500 has bounced sharply from its lows, suggesting this rally may have more fuel, with wider participation…
U.S. Budget Deficit as a % of GDP The U.S. administration’s strong interest in rate cuts is largely driven by the need to make financing the enormous deficit more sustainable. By lowering rates, the government…
U.S. GDP vs. S&P 500 EPS With GDP growth and S&P 500 earnings moving in lockstep, vigilance is warranted. Valuations are lofty, forecasts are rosy, and history shows that when the economy cools, earnings don’t…