CAPE Valuations and 10 Year Annualized Real Return With the CAPE10 ratio hovering near rarely seen highs, the market is sending a warning signal. Past cycles point to negative real returns ahead. In other words,…
S&P 500 Index Daily Returns For nearly a century, no day has given the S&P 500 more trouble than Monday, the market’s perennial weak spot. Even the markets get the Monday blues! Image: Carson Investment…
World Technology Earnings Driven by innovation and a digital‑first economy, tech earnings continue to outpace global peers, with momentum still running strong. Digital transformation remains a powerful growth engine. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
MSCI Emerging Markets Index Emerging markets are back in play, lifted by a softer U.S. dollar, easing global rates, and fresh reforms from Beijing to New Delhi. The rally’s staying power, though, hinges on how…
U.S. Consumer Confidence in Higher Stock Prices vs. S&P 500 Trailing Valuations Confidence in future stock gains is fueling higher valuations, with investors paying up for growth they believe will last. But that conviction could…
S&P 500 Index Returns vs. Drawdowns in Midterm Election Years Midterm years often test Wall Street’s nerve. Since 1930, the S&P 500 has typically fallen around 20% on average at some point, but those pullbacks…
Valuations Across EM Markets The valuation gap in emerging markets is striking: India trades at a premium, whereas China’s pricing feels more in line with its history. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Big Tech’s Capital Expenditures Tech titans Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft plan to spend $650 billion this year into AI data centers, chips, and infrastructure, up 60% from last year as the race for AI…
Macro Valuation Measure (S&P 500) U.S. stocks look rich compared with what today’s macro backdrop would normally justify. In previous cycles, such lofty valuations at these levels have often paved the way for years of…
Bitcoin and Nasdaq 100 Bitcoin has closely tracked the Nasdaq 100 in recent years, mirroring shifts in market sentiment and risk appetite. That link is also relatively visible now, as the speculative mood encounters turbulence.…
Average Percentile of Sentiment Indicators The mood is bullish for now, and we’re not near the extremes. Market participants aren’t showing signs of fatigue just yet, at least until the next headline hits. Image: Goldman…