Market Capitalization – The Smartphone Revolution The iPhone’s 2007 launch ignited a smartphone revolution that sent the market capitalizations of U.S. giants like Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta skyrocketing. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond
S&P 500 Options: % of S&P 500 Listed Volume Expiring within 24 Hours The frenzy in S&P 500 options expiring within 24 hours shows no sign of cooling, now making up more than 62% of…
Positions in S&P 500 Equity Futures by Asset Managers Equity positioning is far from stretched. Asset managers haven’t returned to their peak long bets in U.S. stock futures, and with resilient growth, easier policy, and…
Indexed Return of Cyclicals vs. Defensives and Consensus Forward 4-Quarter U.S. GDP Growth The relative performance of cyclical stocks versus defensives currently signals market expectations for real U.S. GDP growth of 2%, below Goldman Sachs’…
S&P 500 Price Targets If valuations stay where they are, the S&P 500 index could finish 2026 around 7,330, assuming a 26 times multiple on $282 in forward earnings. Image: Real Investment Advice
Gold Price Forecast Gold could glitter brighter in the years ahead, with Yardeni Research projecting a run to $6,000 by 2026 and $10,000 by 2030 on the back of deep fiscal deficits, money-printing excess, and…
Russell 2000 Annual EPS Growth Analysts are betting big on 2026, forecasting a 60% surge in U.S. small-cap earnings, fueled by Fed easing, deregulation, and fiscal tailwinds. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Contribution to Annual S&P 500 Price Return In 2025, the S&P 500’s gains have come from earnings growth, not rising valuations. That’s a shift from 2023 and 2024, when richer multiples did most of the…
Performance – Equities, Bonds and Commodities Equities have held up with surprising strength in 2025, buoyed by solid earnings, rapid AI growth, and easy monetary policy, leaving bonds and commodities trailing behind. Image: Goldman Sachs…
Decomposition of YTD Return in USD Global diversification paid off in 2025 as most major non‑U.S. markets outperformed U.S. equities. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day Bears are wishing for gold this Christmas, chasing safety and inflation hedges, but bulls want just one thing under the tree: more stocks. Happy Holidays and Merry Christmas! 🎅🎄