Positions in S&P 500 Equity Futures by Asset Managers and Leveraged Funds U.S. stocks are hitting record highs, but asset managers and leveraged funds are still running light on S&P 500 futures—leaving plenty of fuel…
Weight of Tech as % of Total U.S. Market Tech doesn’t just lead the U.S. stock market—it defines it with roughly 40% of the total U.S. market cap. That tight link raises a bigger question:…
Gold and 200-Day Moving Average Gold’s story is still bullish, but this overheated chart, with a Z-score exceeding three, screams “cool‑down”—a pullback or a sideways pause looks more like a matter of when, not if.…
S&P 500 Performance After >35% in Six Months History stands with the bulls: up over 35% in six months, the S&P 500 has rarely moved this fast—only five times since 1950. Each time, the rally…
Buybacks – Announced Share Repurchases for S&P 500 Companies In 2025, Corporate America is going all‑in on buybacks, unleashing more than $1 trillion to lift stock prices and keep the Wall Street mood buoyant. Image:…
Returns – Gold vs. S&P 500 vs. MSCI World $4,000 gold isn’t just a headline—it’s the latest move in a powerhouse rally that has left equities in the dust since the millennium. Image: Bloomberg
Year/Year EPS Growth – Magnificent 7 vs. S&P 493 EPS growth for the Magnificent 7 is expected to cool to 14% in Q3, down from 28%. Mega-cap tech names should continue posting robust earnings growth,…
Economy-Wide Firm AI Adoption Rate While AI adoption among firms continues to expand, its growth is slowing as the market shifts from early rapid uptake to a more mature phase. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment…
Cumulative Bull vs. Bear Markets Why do bear markets matter? Because most of the gains of an inflation-adjusted bull run can be erased when the next downturn hits. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Bull Markets Eight years and 288% gains—that’s on average the bull market playbook over the past 50 years. As today’s bull market enters its third year, there’s reason to believe the party is…
Probability of U.S. Recession In the Next 1 Year Goldman Sachs sees a 30% chance of a U.S. recession within the next year—higher than the long-run norm, but still pointing to only moderate downside risks.…