Returns – Gold vs. S&P 500 vs. MSCI World

Returns – Gold vs. S&P 500 vs. MSCI World $4,000 gold isn’t just a headline—it’s the latest move in a powerhouse rally that has left equities in the dust since the millennium. Image: Bloomberg

Year/Year EPS Growth – Magnificent 7 vs. S&P 493

Year/Year EPS Growth – Magnificent 7 vs. S&P 493 EPS growth for the Magnificent 7 is expected to cool to 14% in Q3, down from 28%. Mega-cap tech names should continue posting robust earnings growth,…

Economy-Wide Firm AI Adoption Rate

Economy-Wide Firm AI Adoption Rate While AI adoption among firms continues to expand, its growth is slowing as the market shifts from early rapid uptake to a more mature phase. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment…

Cumulative Bull vs. Bear Markets

Cumulative Bull vs. Bear Markets Why do bear markets matter? Because most of the gains of an inflation-adjusted bull run can be erased when the next downturn hits. Image: Real Investment Advice

S&P 500 Bull Markets

S&P 500 Bull Markets Eight years and 288% gains—that’s on average the bull market playbook over the past 50 years. As today’s bull market enters its third year, there’s reason to believe the party is…

Probability of U.S. Recession Over the Next 12 Months

Probability of U.S. Recession In the Next 1 Year Goldman Sachs sees a 30% chance of a U.S. recession within the next year—higher than the long-run norm, but still pointing to only moderate downside risks.…

Contribution of Sector Groups to S&P 500 Earnings Growth

Contribution of Sector Groups to S&P 500 Earnings Growth MCG and Tech have all but carried the market lately, fueling nearly 90% of the S&P 500’s earnings growth. Wall Street’s climb is still a tech‑powered…

Large Cap Equity Positioning

Large Cap Equity Positioning Markets overall are far from stretched, but in large-cap equities, positioning has climbed to the 82nd percentile, where momentum in big-name stocks is clearly picking up. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

Change in Consensus EPS

Change in Consensus EPS Big Tech still runs the show—2026 earnings forecasts are racing higher for the giants, while the rest of the S&P 493 trail behind in their shadow. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment…

S&P 500 Quarterly Earnings Growth

S&P 500 Quarterly Earnings Growth Deutsche Bank sees S&P 500 earnings accelerating, forecasting growth to climb from 9.3% last quarter to 10.7% in Q3, boosted by supportive macro trends and strong company performances—well ahead of…

S&P 500 Index and Barclays Equity Timing Indicator

S&P 500 Index and Barclays Equity Timing Indicator Barclays’ Equity Timing Indicator—a gauge of 19 market and economic signals—is tilting bullish, implying an 82% chance the S&P 500 rises over the next two months, with…