U.S. Household Wealth
U.S. Household Wealth Stock market gains over the past six years have boosted U.S. household wealth and powered consumer spending, while also heightening vulnerability if markets fall. Image: Deutsche Bank
S&P 500 Returns During The Santa Claus Rally
S&P 500 Returns During The Santa Claus Rally The Santa Claus Rally is the market’s year-end sweet spot, with U.S. stocks historically rising over the last five trading days of December and the first two…
2026 Equity Forecasts
2026 Equity Forecasts Goldman Sachs anticipates upside potential for global equities in 2026 amid a multipolar economic environment, while projecting modest underperformance for U.S. markets relative to international peers. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
EPS – GS Top-Down vs. Consensus Bottom-Up Estimates
EPS – GS Top-Down vs. Consensus Bottom-Up Estimates Goldman Sachs sees S&P 500 EPS rising 12% in 2026 and 10% in 2027, driven by a resilient U.S. economy, a weaker dollar, strong mega-cap tech earnings,…
Survey – Biggest Risks to Market Stability in 2026
Survey – Biggest Risks to Market Stability in 2026 A rare consensus is emerging among investors on what could shake markets in 2026. Deutsche Bank’s latest survey finds AI and tech bubble jitters leading the…
Margin Debt as Percentage of Real Disposal Personal Income
Margin Debt as Percentage of Real Disposal Personal Income Margin debt has climbed to a record share of real disposable income. With incomes barely growing and borrowing piling up, investors look increasingly exposed. Markets may…
U.S. Tech and S&P 500 – 1-Year Total Return Performance to Peak
U.S. Tech and S&P 500 – 1-Year Total Return Performance to Peak Past market bubbles often ended with explosive last-year rallies, far outpacing normal bull market returns. That kind of blow-off surge just isn’t happening…
Rolling 9-Week Flows into U.S. Equity ETFs and Mutual Funds
Rolling 9-Week Flows into U.S. Equity ETFs and Mutual Funds Investors keep buying the dip, pouring nearly $100 billion into U.S. equity mutual funds and ETFs over the past nine weeks, convinced the bull market…
Volatility – U.S. Options Expiration
Volatility – U.S. Options Expiration $7.1 trillion in options notional value is set to expire today, marking the largest expiration on record and setting the stage for fresh market volatility. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment…
Survey – Where Do You Expect 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yields to Be One Year from Now?
Survey – Where Do You Expect 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yields to Be One Year from Now? Deutsche Bank’s latest survey shows that 52% of participants expect the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to rise above 4.25%…
Global Liquidity and MSCI EM
Global Liquidity and MSCI EM Global liquidity rebounds have historically supported emerging market equities by boosting capital inflows, growth, and asset prices. Image: J.P. Morgan