U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and U.S. Monetary Easing

U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and U.S. Monetary Easing Fed rate cuts don’t always spell a softer dollar. When viewed as a push to steady the economy, they can fuel near-term demand for the greenback. Image:…

Valuation – Shiller P/E and U.S. 10-Year Yield

Valuation – Shiller P/E and U.S. 10-Year Yield Sure, U.S. equities are expensive, but inflation and debt worries make bonds no easy refuge either. The smart move now? Stay selective, not scared. Image: Goldman Sachs…

Returns – Average Year for the S&P 500

Returns – Average Year for the S&P 500 October 27 has a curious pull on markets — a date when U.S. stocks often find a floor before seasonal inflows spark a late‑year surge. Image: Carson…

Median Global Real Return in USD by Asset Class

Median Global Real Return in USD by Asset Class While the 60/40 portfolio can’t match stocks in full bull mode, its long-run performance comes surprisingly close — a reminder that bonds still ground both risk…

CTAs Exposure to Equities

CTAs Exposure to Equities Over the past four weeks, CTAs have tactically reduced equity exposure — down from the 90th to 75th percentile — cashing in gains across markets. Even so, they’re still notably long,…

Equity Allocation as % of Household Financial Assets

Equity Allocation as % of Household Financial Assets Equities dominate household portfolios in the U.S., Australia, and Sweden, but caution still rules in Europe and Japan, where cash and liquid assets remain king. Image: Goldman…

S&P 500 – Margin Debt Expansion vs. Contraction

S&P 500 – Margin Debt Expansion vs. Contraction Margin debt is soaring to levels that make some investors uneasy, flirting with the “danger zone.” For now, momentum still points higher—but a reversal would be the…

S&P 500 Index – Seasonal 3-Month Forward Return

S&P 500 Index – Seasonal 3-Month Forward Return Historically, this is go-time for the S&P 500. If past trends hold, the next three months could deliver some of the index’s strongest cumulative gains. Image: Renaissance…

Buyback Aristocrats vs. Dividend Aristocrats

Buyback Aristocrats vs. Dividend Aristocrats Fueled by growth momentum and turbo‑charged buybacks, Buyback Aristocrats have left Dividend Aristocrats in the dust, as investors chase upside over income stability. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Total Holdings of U.S. Long-Term Securities

Monthly Foreign Net Purchases of Long-Term U.S. Securities Record foreign holdings of U.S. assets in 2025 point to lasting investor confidence, even in the face of global economic and geopolitical risks. Image: Bloomberg