S&P 500 Yearly Performance During Bull Markets

S&P 500 Yearly Performance During Bull Markets Now in its fourth year, the bull market shows little sign of tiring. History still favors the bulls—since 1950, this phase of the cycle has usually meant more…

Valuations and Peak of an Equities Rally

Valuations and Peak of an Equities Rally Market participants are buzzing about an AI bubble with valuations sky-high. But ditching stocks now could mean missing the late-game rally—volatility shows we’re not in full-blown mania just…

U.S. Share Buyback Authorization Announcements

U.S. Share Buyback Authorization Announcements Wall Street’s latest high? Over $1 trillion buyback binge as Corporate America goes all‑in to keep shares flying and investors’ spirits high. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

VIX Seasonality

VIX Seasonality Volatility flare-ups aren’t uncommon this time of year, as political risk and trade tensions bubble back to the surface, sending ripples of anxiety through global markets. Image: Topdown Charts

Policy Uncertainty Index vs. S&P 500 Index

Policy Uncertainty Index vs. S&P 500 Index Policy uncertainty often rattles markets—but those jitters tend to be short-lived, with volatility typically hitting peak levels near market lows. Image: Real Investment Advice

The 2009 S&P 500 Bull Market Compared With This One

The 2009 S&P 500 Bull Market Compared With This One No market cycle is identical, but the S&P 500’s path since 2022 looks like a remix of the 2009–2020 bull market—same mid‑cycle pullback, same setup…

12-Month Forward ROE Ranges for Different MSCI Regions

12-Month Forward ROE Ranges for Different MSCI Regions A higher ROE points to stronger profitability—and often justifies a premium—but U.S. equity valuations also hinge on growth expectations, risk sentiment, liquidity, and investor psychology. Image: Goldman…

S&P 500 Valuations

S&P 500 Valuations The S&P 500’s current valuation places it alongside two standout episodes of market excess—the late-1990s dot-com mania and the 2021 stimulus-fueled rally—raising a yellow flag for investors who fear a stretch of…

Weight of Tech as % of Total U.S. Market

Weight of Tech as % of Total U.S. Market Tech doesn’t just lead the U.S. stock market—it defines it with roughly 40% of the total U.S. market cap. That tight link raises a bigger question:…

Gold and 200-Day Moving Average

Gold and 200-Day Moving Average Gold’s story is still bullish, but this overheated chart, with a Z-score exceeding three, screams “cool‑down”—a pullback or a sideways pause looks more like a matter of when, not if.…