Proportion of S&P 500 Beating Earnings Estimate The proportion of U.S. companies exceeding earnings estimates remained above the historical average in Q1 2025, reflecting ongoing earnings resilience. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Share of S&P 500 Compagnies Providing Forward Earnings Guidance During Reporting Season The trend of fewer S&P 500 companies providing forward guidance is likely to persist as long as macroeconomic and policy uncertainties remain elevated.…
S&P 500 Consecutive Days of Gains Although there are valid reasons for caution, the U.S. stock rebound is driven by strong momentum. Historically, momentum-driven rallies tend to persist longer than expected, even during major macroeconomic…
Valuation – The Buffett Indicator Although the Buffett Indicator has fallen from record highs, making U.S. stocks appear more attractive, it still sits well above its historical average and past market lows. Image: Bloomberg
S&P 500 Performance Recovering 50% of Bear Market With the S&P 500 regaining half of its near-bear market losses in 2025, history strongly suggests that the lows may already be behind us. Since 1950, the…
S&P 500 Quarterly YoY EPS Growth Relative to Consensus Expectations S&P 500 Q1 2025 earnings growth has substantially outpaced initial expectations, driven by robust results from key sectors and widespread positive surprises. Image: Goldman Sachs…
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day After the S&P 500’s 2.92% rise last week, bulls are ready to party, but bears insist it’s too soon to celebrate-a bear market rally might crash the party! Have a…
Median S&P 500 Performance During 10% Corrections If there is no recession, U.S. stocks tend to do well after market corrections, often rebounding strongly and offering attractive returns to investors who stay the course. Image:…
Aggregate U.S. Dollar Position, Non-Commercial Traders Speculators are holding their most bearish positions on the U.S. dollar since September 2024, driven by global optimism, de-dollarization trends, and relative strength in other major currencies. Image: Bloomberg
Various S&P 500 Index 6-Month Returns While 1.8% may seem modest during the May-October period, it still represents a positive return. Even though this timeframe is weaker than the November–April period, the market has still…
Combined AAII & II Sentiment So far, the combined readings from the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) and Investors Intelligence (II) indicate a bullish outlook, reflecting optimism and confidence among market participants. Image: Topdown…