12-Month S&P 500 Returns Following Peaks and Troughs of Consumer Sentiment Historically, troughs in consumer sentiment tends to precede big stock market returns. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management
VIX – Market Shocks in a Historical Perspective The volatility of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on U.S. stocks is equivalent to that of the Gulf War (1990–91). Image: Pictet Asset Management
Bitcoin – Transaction Capacity per Second Has Bitcoin a scalability problem? Image: Deutsche Bank
Small Caps – Russell 2000 Non-Financials Cash as a Percentage of Market Capitalization U.S. small caps have plenty of cash. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
Market-Implied Odds of a U.S. Recession in the Next 12 Months Could a recession be coming in the United States? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Total Return – Reasons to Sell If you listen to the news, there is always a good reason not to be invested in the stock market. Image: Ritholtz Wealth Management LLC
U.S. GDP Impact of Oil Price Shock The oil price shock will have a significant impact on the U.S. GDP. Image: Oxford Economics
M2 – Money Supply vs. Monetary Velocity Is printing more money good for the U.S. economy? Despite strong M2 growth, money velocity has declined. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 12-Month Forward EPS and Chicago Business Barometer Will S&P 500 EPS growth decelerate sharply? Image: Alpine Macro
Probability of a U.S. Recession in Next 12 Months The probability of a U.S. recession in the next 12 months remains low. Image: Richardson Wealth