S&P 500 Index Single Day Average Returns November 24 has a habit of lifting Wall Street’s spirits. It’s historically the S&P 500’s third-best session, averaging a 0.47% gain, trailing only October 28 and December 26.…
Consolidated Equity Positioning With consolidated equity positioning now in the 34th percentile and turning underweight for the first time since July, markets have room for a rebound in risk appetite if sentiment improves. Image: Deutsche…
Sentiment Indicator and Stock Positioning Goldman Sachs’ US Equity Sentiment Indicator is now at -0.3, hinting at mild bearish sentiment that has tended to flip into S&P 500 gains in the following month. Image: Goldman…
Sectors Positioning (High Frequency) Positioning in mega-cap growth and tech names has eased but stays lofty compared with other sectors. Valuation worries are prompting some trimming, but the broader growth narrative is far from broken.…
U.S. Equity Index P/E Valuations vs. History Valuations have eased, but the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 still trade at 22 and 27 times forward earnings. A reminder that the market remains priced for another…
Median S&P 500 Stock Short Interest as % of Market Capitalization Short interest for the median S&P 500 stock remains high, rising to 2.4%. However, the move is currently being driven more by investors using…
Insider Transactions Ratio Buying and selling activity by insiders is in balance again, putting the Insider Transactions Ratio back in neutral territory. Image: Barron’s
Fed Funds Rate – Target Probabilities at the Fed’s FOMC Meeting Traders are showing renewed optimism for a Fed rate cut at the December 10, 2025 FOMC meeting, pricing in a 71% chance of a…
S&P 500 Price Target for 2025 and 2026 Goldman Sachs sees the S&P 500 climbing to 6,800 by the end of 2025 and pushing toward 7,600 in 2026, betting on an accommodative Fed and the…
Valuation – Real S&P 500 Index with Recessions and S&P 500 Shiller CAPE Ratio Markets move in full cycles, swinging from long bull runs to deep bear phases. These patterns have played out time and…
S&P 500 Annual Highs Per Month It’s still a bull market to love, even as the bears grow louder. History rarely sees the S&P 500 peak in October, and with new highs within reach, U.S.…