S&P 500 Index Single Day Average Returns Saint Patrick’s Day is putting a smile on the bulls, as it’s not just one of the greenest days of the year but also historically the strongest for…

Insider Transactions Ratio Corporate insiders are back in buying mode, pushing the Insider Transactions Ratio into bullish territory and injecting some optimism into U.S. stocks. It’s usually a bullish signal when insiders start buying again.…

S&P 500 Return Around 7 Major Geopolitical Risk Events The S&P 500’s 5% slide from its January peak mirrors the market’s typical pullback after major geopolitical shocks. Many investors see the turbulence as temporary, betting…

Valuations – 12-Month Forward P/E Ranges (MSCI Regions) Despite the pullback, valuations in U.S. and global equities remain lofty, with earnings momentum doing the heavy lifting. As long as companies keep delivering solid numbers, those…

Discretionary vs. Systematic Equity Positioning Systematic strategies are slightly overweight at the 55th percentile, while discretionary investors positioning is still cautious at the 21st percentile. A change in sentiment could pave the way for more…

EPS Revisions Upward EPS revisions across the S&P 500, Topix, and especially MSCI EM point to growing confidence in 2026 earnings, with momentum still tilted toward strength even as the STOXX 600 struggles to keep…

AAII Sentiment Survey U.S. retail investors remain cautious as the AAII bull-bear spread holds at a three-month low. With uncertainty still clouding the outlook, that’s expected. Sentiment rarely turns until investors see a clearer path…

Median 2-Week S&P 500 Returns Historically, the second half of March tends to finish in the green. Seasonality helps, but just when a rally starts to look inevitable, the market has a habit of flipping…

S&P 500 and Crude Oil Since the conflict erupted in the Middle East, the S&P 500 has been moving almost opposite to oil, showing a striking 91% inverse correlation. When crude rises, investors often worry…

Investor Sentiment – U.S. Market Greed/Fear Index The Greed and Fear Index sits at 58.28, back to neutral, after sentiment slumped last week amid rising Middle East tensions and stubbornly high energy prices. Image: Real…

S&P 500 Performance When Q1 Low Breaks the December Low Close When the S&P 500 sinks below its December low in the first quarter, history tends to flash a warning light. On average, U.S. stocks…