S&P 500 Returns When New Highs Are Made In October A slow start to November may not tell the whole story. When the S&P 500 hits a new high in October, history leans bullish, with…

Seasonality – S&P 500 Cycle Composite for 2025 Early November weakness hasn’t derailed the bulls. Seasonal tailwinds, strong earnings, and steady inflows are lining up behind a potential year-end rally in the S&P 500. Image:…

Truck Tonnage vs. S&P 500 Index The Truck Tonnage Index declined 2.1% in October. Trucks represent 72.7% of U.S. freight and serve as a barometer of the U.S. economy. This chart shows that, historically, the…

Valuation – S&P 500 NTM P/E With a forward P/E of 17 versus 23 for the benchmark, the equal-weight index tells the real story: most U.S. stocks are stalling, while a handful of giants are…

Consensus Capex Growth Estimates Heading into 2026, hyperscale AI players face the prospect of a sharp pullback in capital spending, likely putting fresh strain on valuations. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Citi U.S. Earnings Revision Index and S&P 500 Index The S&P 500’s bull market remains firmly in place, with upside potential into 2026 fueled by earnings upgrades and upbeat corporate guidance. Image: Bloomberg

Margin Debt to U.S. Market Cap While margin debt has been rising, its share of total U.S. market value still sits at manageable levels. That keeps leverage risks in check and suggests investors could take…

Amount of Fed Rate Cuts Priced by End of Year Markets remain divided over a December rate cut, with upcoming jobs and inflation reports set to shape expectations. The Fed may ease again if the…

S&P 500 – Total Real Return of $1000 Investment with Dollar Cost Average vs. Valuations Sure, dollar-cost averaging can dull the pain of bad timing, but it won’t erase it. Even with the Fed’s heavy…

S&P 500 After Four Months Above the 50-Day MA Ends A break below the 50-day moving average after four months of strength might set off alarm bells, but history has usually rewarded patience. The S&P…

Mega-Cap Growth & Tech Positioning With positioning at the 78th percentile, mega-cap growth and tech names continue to draw heavy interest. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation