Seasonality – S&P 500 Index Average Monthly Returns February’s returns may be flat, but the ride rarely is, making it one of the market’s more unpredictable stretches for U.S. stocks. Image: Carson Investment Research
Consolidated Equity Positioning At the 62nd percentile, consolidated equity positioning stays mildly overweight but far from stretched, keeping the door open for potential upside. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Sentiment Indicator and Stock Positioning Goldman Sachs’ U.S. Equity Sentiment Indicator is holding flat at 0.0, a neutral reading that has often been followed by S&P 500 upside over the next month. Image: Goldman Sachs…
CBOE Gold Volatility Index Gold has been getting jumpy lately, with volatility back to levels we haven’t seen since the COVID market chaos. The metal doesn’t panic easily, but when it does, there’s usually a…
Monthly Net Flow to U.S. Bitcoin ETFs Bitcoin has dropped over 30% since its October 2025 peak, a slide deepening in a market still pressured by relentless ETF outflows. But for crypto veterans, this kind…
U.S. Equity Index P/E Valuations vs. History U.S. equities aren’t exactly a bargain at 22 times forward earnings for the S&P 500 and 27 for the Nasdaq 100, but investors keep buying as long as…
S&P 500 Returns – First Five Days >1% and a Positive January Combo History favors the bulls: when the S&P 500 rises more than 1% in the first five days and January closes in the…
S&P 500 Technical Composite A composite of technical breadth measures places the S&P 500 in neutral gear, leaving room for potential upside if momentum picks up. Image: MarketDesk Research
S&P 500 – Short Interest on the SPY and QQQ U.S. ETFs Signs of complacency? Short positions in the SPY and QQQ U.S. ETFs remain thin, signaling little appetite for downside speculation and damping the…
S&P 500 and Liquidity Liquidity stays abundant. But since 2022, dip-buyers have stopped tracking liquidity and started trading on Fed whispers, reading signals more than balance sheets. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Index Returns Based on If January Is Higher or Lower Bulls have reason to smile: a positive January often sets the tone for a bullish year. When the S&P 500 finishes the month…