S&P 500 Total Returns After Crossing Into the 9th and 10th Deciles of Valuation U.S. equities have a history of pushing higher despite lofty valuations. While nervous talk of a tech bubble persists, analysts point…
Fear & Greed Index – Investor Sentiment With the Fear & Greed Index sitting at 61, optimism is in the air, but euphoria hasn’t taken over. Image: Cable News Network
S&P 500 Index Average Intra-Year Drawdown During Midterm Elections Midterm years often shake confidence on Wall Street. The S&P 500 usually slides 18% at some point during the year, but those downturns tend to open…
Fed Funds Rate and Fed Funds Futures Lower tariff rates and a dovish shift at the Fed could set the stage for rate cuts below 3.5% by year‑end, assuming inflation keeps drifting toward target and…
Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions Temporary Help Services Jobs stand at -3.89% YoY in December. The relationship between Temporary Help Services jobs and the macroeconomy is complex. Declines in Temporary…
Global Stocks – MSCI AC World Local Index Citigroup strategists are betting on a 10% rise in global equities this year, backed by a gentle economic slowdown, stronger earnings forecasts, and fresh AI tailwinds. Image:…
U.S. M2 Money Creation by Year All signs point to a 2026 liquidity wave: bigger money funds, solid bank credit, and $40 billion a month from the Fed in T‑bill buys. That could juice reserves, pump…
Share of Global Market Capitalization Controlling 65% of the world’s equities, America still sets the tempo for global markets, drawing in capital and shaping sentiment from Wall Street to Tokyo. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment…
NAAIM Exposure Index – Investor Sentiment With the NAAIM Exposure Index at 96.01, active managers remain heavily invested in U.S. stocks, confident momentum still has room to run. The National Association of Active Investment Managers Exposure Index…
U.S. Corporate Profits as % of Real GDP U.S. corporate profits are running far ahead of real economy growth, reaching the widest gap on record. History shows that such divergences rarely last once markets face…
S&P 500 YoY EPS Growth The median S&P 500 company is expected to post 7% yoy EPS growth in Q4 2025, pointing to firmer earnings momentum and a brighter short‑term outlook. Image: Goldman Sachs Global…