S&P 500 Quarterly Net Profit Margin (ex. Financials & Utilities) Corporate America is delivering solid profits, and with margins set to climb in the coming quarters, the bullish case keeps gaining traction. It’s getting harder…
Earnings Growth – Mag 7 and S&P 500 ex-Mag 7 The Magnificent Seven are pacing for 32% earnings growth this year, more than double the S&P 500’s 15%. With tech momentum still running hot, betting…
S&P 500 Around Major Geopolitical Events Since 1939 U.S. equities have once again behaved in line with the historical playbook during geopolitical shocks: a burst of panic, then a quick return to business as usual.…
Share of S&P 500 Company Quarter-Ahead EPS Guidance Above Consensus Estimates Strong earnings and confident forecasts are keeping corporate America bullish on near-term profits, adding fuel to already rich valuations. As long as companies deliver,…
New York Fed GDP Nowcast The New York Fed edged its Q2 2026 U.S. GDP Nowcast up to 2.59% from 2.52% last week, reinforcing the steady-growth backdrop. That adds a bit of fuel to the…
S&P 500 Sector P/E Valuations Relative to History S&P 500 Financials are holding onto relatively modest valuations, in contrast to Industrials, which are edging into more expensive territory. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Share of Global Market Capitalization The U.S. accounts for only 4% of the world’s population, but it holds 62% of global equity value. Its innovation pipeline continues to pull in overseas capital. The simple truth:…
Seasonality – S&P 500 Average Monthly Returns Since 1950 Since 1950, the S&P 500 has returned just 1.7% from May to October, versus more than 7% from November to April. When the market hits May…
S&P 500 Performance During the 1980-2000 and 2013-Current Secular Bull Markets The S&P 500 has been rising since March 2013, but age alone doesn’t call the top. The last secular bull market ran nearly two…
Insider Transactions Ratio Insider activity remains balanced, keeping the Insider Transactions Ratio in neutral territory. For now, there is no indication of aggressive positioning from insiders. Image: Barron’s
Valuation – S&P 500 NTM P/E At 16 times forward earnings versus 21 for the benchmark, the equal-weight index is not exactly cheap, but it looks better value on a relative basis. Image: Goldman Sachs…