Weekly Bond Fund Flows Short-term bond funds are attracting substantial investor capital amid market volatility and economic uncertainty. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

Google Searches for “Global Financial Crisis” and “Great Recession” While fears of a 2025 tariff-driven recession evoke memories of 2008, some investors see today’s prevailing pessimism as a contrarian bullish signal for stocks. Historically, extreme…

Sentiment – GS Business Optimism Tracker U.S. business optimism has seen a significant and widespread decline in early 2025, as multiple indicators and surveys report sharp drops in sentiment among CEOs, CFOs, and small business…

Hard Data vs. Soft Data The notable divergence between soft and hard economic data highlights the challenge of interpreting the true state of the economy. While sentiment surveys suggest caution, hard data has yet to…

ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day With the S&P 500 jumping 4.59% last week, bulls are celebrating like they just hit the jackpot, while bears are trying to find their lost optimism! Have a Great Week,…

Valuation – Forward 12-Month P/E for S&P 500 With a forward P/E ratio of 20, the S&P 500 is trading above its long-term historical average. As a result, current valuations are elevated rather than historically…

S&P 500 Performance After >70% Advancers Three Days in a Row on the NYSE Historically, three consecutive days with over 70% NYSE advancers signal strong bullish momentum. Since 1950, the S&P 500 has delivered positive…

S&P 500 2025 EPS Estimate After Tariff Impact Deutsche Bank slashed its 2025 S&P 500 EPS estimate to $240 (from $282) due to tariffs’ outsized burden on U.S. companies. The S&P 500 index could rally…

Gold vs. Other Asset Total Returns A performance rotation from stocks to gold is emerging. This may signal the beginning of a broader shift, as Trump’s efforts to weaken the dollar and lower rates coincide…

Sentiment/VIX Composite vs. S&P 500 Current low levels of the Sentiment/VIX Composite Index tend to coincide with market lows, indicating potential buying opportunities rather than the onset of larger market reversions. Image: Real Investment Advice

S&P 500 and Zweig Breadth Thrust Bulls have reason to smile as the Zweig Breadth Thrust has perfectly predicted S&P 500 gains in all 19 post-WWII instances, averaging 23.4% returns within a year and never…