Yield Curves and Recessions
Yield Curves and Recessions Is a recession on the horizon in the United States, as the yield curve is flattening? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Yield Curves and Recessions Is a recession on the horizon in the United States, as the yield curve is flattening? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Hit Rate for S&P 500 (% Positive Returns) in Months of Small Cap Leadership vs. All Months Generally small caps tend to outperform when the U.S. economy is growing. Could small caps regain leadership? Image:…
Performance – MSCI EM/S&P 500 Why are emerging market equities underperforming the S&P 500 for so long? Image: The Daily Shot
S&P 500 Relative to its 200-Day Moving Average When will the S&P 500 retest its 200-day moving average? Image: The Daily Shot
VIX Index Spot Price The VIX has dropped below its long-term median. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
10-Year Rolling Real Return for a 60/40 Portfolio Lost decades for 60/40 portfolios have been more common than investors might think. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Valuation Percentile for S&P 500 and U.S. 10-Year Yields How long will valuations remain near their all-time highs? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Equities – MSCI Taiwan / MSCI Asia (Total Return in US$) If China attempts to invade Taiwan, what would it mean for stocks? Image: Gavekal, Macrobond
Yield Curve – U.S. 10Y-2Y Treasury Yield Spread and U.S. 2-Year Treasury Yield Does the flattening of the yield curve signal skepticism about the prospects for economic growth? Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Average Net Buying (Selling) of U.S. Single Stocks by Institutional and Private Clients Can tax-loss harvesting improve investor returns? Image: BofA Securities
Equities – MSCI ACWI Total Return vs. U.S. High Yield/High Grade Total Return Relative Is credit a bearish sign for global equities? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy