Two-Day Returns for the S&P 500
Two-Day Returns for the S&P 500 The clustering of best and worst days underscores the importance of patience and discipline in investing. Selling after the worst days often means missing the best days that follow!…
S&P 500 – Margin Debt Expansion vs. Contraction
S&P 500 – Margin Debt Expansion vs. Contraction A decline in margin debt has historically signaled impending market turbulence, as margin debt levels often reflect investor confidence and risk appetite. Image: Topdown Charts
S&P 500 Returns a Year After Spike in Policy Uncertainty Index
S&P 500 Returns a Year After Spike in Policy Uncertainty Index The S&P 500 has a history of generating solid 12-month returns after periods of heightened policy uncertainty. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day Even bulls and bears are calling a truce this Easter Monday—time to trade market chaos for chocolate eggs! Happy Easter Monday, Everyone!🐰😎
U.S. True Financial Conditions Index
U.S. True Financial Conditions Index The U.S. True Financial Conditions Index stands at 6, indicating a slightly accommodative financial environment. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond
Maximum S&P 500 Drawdowns and Recessions
Maximum S&P 500 Drawdowns and Recessions If the U.S. economy enters a recession due to Trump’s tariffs, the stock market could decline further. The market appears not to have fully priced in the risk of…
Contributions to Annualized U.S. PCE Growth
Contributions to Annualized U.S. PCE Growth The U.S. stock market’s recent underperformance is expected to reduce the wealth effect, turning it from a boost to a drag on consumption and increasing the risk of a…
S&P 500 Intraday Swings
S&P 500 Intraday Swings Recent S&P 500 volatility, characterized by intraday swings exceeding 10% and VIX spikes echoing 2008 and COVID-era turbulence, appears to be stabilizing. Image: Bloomberg
Gold Price and 10-Year Real U.S. Treasury Yields
Gold vs. 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond Gold is increasingly being positioned as an alternative to U.S. Treasury bonds. Image: Deutsche Bank
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day The S&P 500 took a 1.50% dip this week, but bears are open to talks if bulls show respect! Happy Easter Weekend, Everyone! 🐰😎
Notional Volume Traded in Listed U.S. Equity Options
Notional Volume Traded in Listed U.S. Equity Options Thanks to strong participation from both retail and institutional investors, U.S. equity options are seeing rising average daily trading volumes—a trend that shows no signs of slowing…