Valuation Percentile for Equity, Credit and Bond Valuations matter more over the medium term than in the moment. In years like 2025, robust growth let markets climb anyway, powered by rising profits despite high price…
Global Sector Fund Flows Excluding Tech Sector funds outside Tech have drawn a record $62 billion in inflows over the first five weeks of the year, more than the total for all of 2025. The rush…
S&P 500 Earnings Revision Breadth The relationship isn’t perfect, but S&P 500 EPS revision breadth has often led market moves, showing a strong historical link with the index’s six‑month trailing returns. Image: Goldman Sachs Global…
Valuation – S&P 500 Shiller Cyclically-Adjusted P/E Ratio vs. Model-Predicted P/E Ratio U.S. equities look expensive relative to both their own history and what today’s macro backdrop would normally justify. In past cycles, such stretches…
Sector Weights in the S&P 500 U.S. defensive sectors, excluding pharma and biotech, remain near their lowest share of the S&P 500 since 1990, even after a tech-led rotation nudged investors to trim some of…
Factset S&P 500 Annual Bottom Up EPS Actual and Estimates Forecast upgrades for 2026 and 2027 keep rolling in, giving the S&P 500 another reason to push higher. The bulls still have the wind at…
Valuations – 12-Month Fwd P/E Multiple. Worldscope Europe Sector Indices If you look at today’s valuation at 16.8x P/E and consensus revenues growth at around 9% annually, the risk of a slowdown in Software &…
Nasdaq After the Netscape IPO and ChatGPT Came Out It’s not unusual for U.S. tech to lag in the third year after a big innovation, with the post‑Netscape years offering a perfect textbook case. Image:…
Valuation – Software Forward P/E Software valuations have come under heavy pressure, with the forward P/E multiple sliding to 20 times, a level investors haven’t seen since 2014. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Growth vs. Value – Relative Total Return Value is back in favor to start the year, as lofty valuations keep investors on edge. Still, growth could stage a comeback if earnings deliver some…
Net Monthly Flows of U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETFs Since the reversal in October 2025, institutions have cut billions in Bitcoin holdings month after month, an indication of fading appetite and a darker mood across crypto…