Buybacks – Announced Share Repurchases for S&P 500 Companies In 2025, Corporate America is going all‑in on buybacks, unleashing more than $1 trillion to lift stock prices and keep the Wall Street mood buoyant. Image:…
Returns – Gold vs. S&P 500 vs. MSCI World $4,000 gold isn’t just a headline—it’s the latest move in a powerhouse rally that has left equities in the dust since the millennium. Image: Bloomberg
Year/Year EPS Growth – Magnificent 7 vs. S&P 493 EPS growth for the Magnificent 7 is expected to cool to 14% in Q3, down from 28%. Mega-cap tech names should continue posting robust earnings growth,…
Cumulative Bull vs. Bear Markets Why do bear markets matter? Because most of the gains of an inflation-adjusted bull run can be erased when the next downturn hits. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Bull Markets Eight years and 288% gains—that’s on average the bull market playbook over the past 50 years. As today’s bull market enters its third year, there’s reason to believe the party is…
Probability of U.S. Recession In the Next 1 Year Goldman Sachs sees a 30% chance of a U.S. recession within the next year—higher than the long-run norm, but still pointing to only moderate downside risks.…
Contribution of Sector Groups to S&P 500 Earnings Growth MCG and Tech have all but carried the market lately, fueling nearly 90% of the S&P 500’s earnings growth. Wall Street’s climb is still a tech‑powered…
Large Cap Equity Positioning Markets overall are far from stretched, but in large-cap equities, positioning has climbed to the 82nd percentile, where momentum in big-name stocks is clearly picking up. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 Index and Barclays Equity Timing Indicator Barclays’ Equity Timing Indicator—a gauge of 19 market and economic signals—is tilting bullish, implying an 82% chance the S&P 500 rises over the next two months, with…
S&P 500 Returns when New Highs Are Made in August, September, and October History is on the bulls’ side: whenever the S&P 500 has hit new highs in August, September, and October, the fourth quarter…
Equities – MSCI U.S. vs. MSCI ACWI ex-U.S. American equities are falling out of step with their global peers, lagging by roughly 9%—the biggest divide since 2009—amid currency shifts and a revival of interest in…