U.S. Fund Flows Since 2023, cash and bonds have attracted substantial inflows, driven by central bank policy shifts, investor preferences for income and safety, and broader macroeconomic factors. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Bond Seasonality – Monthly Median Return on Global 10y+ Goverment Bonds Long-term government bonds globally face a challenging September due to seasonality and ongoing geopolitical and economic uncertainties, reinforcing historical trends of September being their…
S&P 500 Monthly Rank Historically, September is the worst-performing month for U.S. stocks—this holds true for the past 10 years, 20 years, and going back to 1950. It is rare to see both August and…
Announced Share Buybacks in the U.S. The ongoing pipeline of stock repurchase programs demonstrates strong confidence among executives and continues to underpin the U.S. stock market through 2025 and beyond. Image: Bloomberg
New S&P 500 Index All-Time Highs Per Year Yesterday, the S&P 500 hit its nineteenth record high of 2025, underscoring persistent market optimism. The index has gained 10.55% so far this year, driven by robust…
U.S. Household Net Worth as % of Disposal Personal Income While the U.S. household net worth has risen to historic levels due to assets like stocks and real estate, AI-driven financial gains mainly benefit the…
S&P 500 and 20-Day Moving Average Since April, after tariff-related lows, the S&P 500 has used the 20-day moving average as a floor during pullbacks, continuing its upward trend and sustaining a bullish outlook. Image:…
Health Care Sector Weight in the S&P 500 With a 9% weight in the S&P 500 and an earnings share of 10%, the health care sector represents an important, though not dominant, part of the…
Real U.S. Consumer Spending During the first half of 2025, U.S. inflation-adjusted consumer spending contracted—the weakest pace seen in over 15 years—driven by cautious consumer behavior amid tariff concerns and economic uncertainties. Image: Deutsche Bank
MOVE, VIX and FX Volatility The “Goldilocks summer” of market calm is essentially over, as mounting concerns about the U.S. economy awaken markets from their seasonal slumber. Image: Bloomberg
90/90 Days and What the S&P 500 Did Next The “90/90 days” back to 1980 often coincide with major policy events or changes, serving as drivers or inflection points for markets. Powell’s recent dovish pivot…