S&P 500 Index Peak-to-Trough During a Midterm Year Midterm years often bring large pullbacks — but history says don’t panic. Since 1950, every midterm-year bottom in U.S. stocks has been followed by a powerful rebound,…
Nasdaq 100 Ratio to S&P 500 Equal Weighted After years of leaving the broader market in the dust, the Nasdaq 100’s outperformance over the average S&P 500 stock has lost steam, with recent data showing…
S&P 500 Total Return and Gold Return Gold’s shine isn’t dimming, even as U.S. stocks rally. Both are up together for a third straight year. Investors now view bullion as shelter with upside, and central…
S&P 500 Valuation U.S. stocks are priced for perfection — valuations sitting at levels that rarely end well. Timing the turn is tricky, but when prices run this hot, even the slightest cool-down in fundamentals…
MSCI AC World: 10-Year Annualized Total Return Goldman Sachs forecasts a 10-year annual return of 7.7% in USD for global stocks — a solid long-term outlook, though shy of the boom years’ pace. Image: Goldman…
S&P 500 3-Month Realized Average Stock Correlation Correlations in the S&P 500 are sinking, turning the market from one big macro trade into a stock picker’s playground where fundamentals finally matter again. Image: Goldman Sachs…
Historical Length of Recoveries and Subsequent Market Declines Every U.S. expansion since 1871 has hit a wall, and markets have stumbled hard each time. The current bull run, born out of the March 2020 lows,…
S&P 500 Annualized 10-Year Total Return Forecasts Goldman Sachs is calling for 6.5% annualized gains in the S&P 500 over the next ten years — not bad, but hardly without risk, given stretched valuations and…
Market Capitalization of the Largest Stock Relative to the 75th Percentile Stock U.S. stocks are more top-heavy than at any point in nearly a century, with mega-cap tech driving the charge. The dominance is juicing…
Bitcoin-Nasdaq 100 30-Day Correlation Bitcoin’s correlation with the Nasdaq 100 has surged to multi-year highs, but as macro conditions shift and the crypto market matures, its link to traditional equities could start to loosen. Image:…
S&P 500 vs. Gold and S&P 500 vs. Bonds (Total Return) U.S. stocks look pricey next to bonds—but measured against gold, it’s not mania, it’s money insurance. Investors are hedging debasement and inflation, not chasing…