S&P 500 Index Returns In April Even with the Middle East conflict clouding the seasonal backdrop, April has historically been a strong month for U.S. equities, averaging positive returns since 1950. Image: Carson Investment Research
Volatility – VIX Index The VIX dropping below 20 signals fading market jitters and a steadier tone, typically a tailwind for equities as calmer volatility expectations often accompany rising stock prices. Lower volatility tends to…
S&P 500 Performance After 6-Day Win Streaks and Up 6% Six days up in a row and a 6% surge: history says that combo often bodes well for U.S. stocks, with median 12-month gains of…
Valuations – Software vs. World ex. TMT and Technology vs. World TMT Valuations in global tech and software have narrowed sharply, with forward P/Es at their lowest level relative to world equities in more than…
U.S. Tech – 3-Month Change in Price vs. 3-Month Change in FY2 EPS Until recently, U.S. tech earnings and stock returns have run hand in hand. With the correlation breaking down, dips are looking more…
1000 Point Advances for the Dow Jones Industrial Average The Dow posted its 25th intraday gain of more than 1,000 points yesterday, with 23 coming during Trump’s presidency. Everyone wants to catch the big move,…
Valuation – PEG Ratio Between the U.S. and the Rest of the World The valuation premium of U.S. equities versus the rest of the world, through the PEG lens, has narrowed in recent months. But…
U.S. Fund Flows Since 2019, both cash and bonds have drawn substantial inflows, as investors have shifted toward perceived safety and income‑generating assets amid heightened macro uncertainty and evolving central‑bank policy. Image: Goldman Sachs Global…
S&P 500: What Happens If You Miss the 10 Best/Worst Days Missing the S&P 500’s best days is the usual warning, but avoiding its worst stretches is what preserves capital. Protecting downside often matters more…
Difference between Front-End Brent Crude Oil Futures and 6-Month Brent Futures Markets are betting the Middle East conflict will be short‑lived. Oil futures signal tight near‑term supply but confidence that disruptions will fade quickly. But…
Valuation – Average P/E for Stoxx Europe 600 and S&P 500 Investors finally returned to European equities after years of hesitation. But keeping them invested is becoming tougher, with Europe losing appeal as the U.S.…