S&P 500 Monthly Performance the Past 20 Years
S&P 500 Monthly Performance the Past 20 Years This year’s conflict in the Middle East has clouded the outlook, but history still favors the bulls: April has rewarded U.S. stocks 80% of the time over…
S&P 500 – 13-Week and 26-Week Moving Average
S&P 500 – 13-Week and 26-Week Moving Average The S&P 500 remains in a bull trend with the 13-week moving average still above the 26-week, but the gap has narrowed enough to raise caution. Image:…
Number of Consecutive Negative Weeks for the S&P 500
Number of Consecutive Negative Weeks for the S&P 500 Five straight weeks of declines might rattle investors, but history reminds us that such runs often mark turning points rather than lasting downturns. Markets often rebound…
Thursday Losing Streaks for the S&P 500
S&P 500 Weekly Losing Streaks If the S&P 500 ends in the red today, it would mark a record 10th consecutive losing Thursday. But the last trading day before Good Friday has a habit of…
Investors Intelligence Bull-Bear Spread and S&P 500
Investors Intelligence Bull-Bear Spread and S&P 500 Bulls are slipping out the side door. Over the past decade, every sustained S&P 500 gain came when the II bull‑bear spread topped 20%. That kind of conviction…
Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index
Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index The U.S. dollar’s sharp March rally fits the familiar script: investors rush back to the greenback when global risk sentiment turns sour, seeking its safety and deep liquidity. Image: Bloomberg
S&P 500 Quarterly Returns Based on the Four-Year Presidential Cycle
S&P 500 Quarterly Returns Based on the Four-Year Presidential Cycle Midterm election years have a rough reputation. Q2 is usually the weakest quarter in the presidential cycle for U.S. stocks. With Q1 set to close…
Nasdaq 100 to S&P 500 Valuation Spread
Nasdaq 100 to S&P 500 Valuation Spread The last time the Nasdaq 100 traded this cheap versus the S&P 500, it staged its biggest outperformance in a year. Honestly, that’s tough to ignore. Image: Bloomberg
Brent Crude Oil Futures
Brent Crude Oil Futures Markets are betting the Middle East conflict won’t drag on, a view reflected in oil futures prices. The curve remains in backwardation, indicating tight near‑term supply but confidence that any disruption…
When Do You Expect a Ceasefire to Be Reached Between the U.S. and Iran?
When Do You Expect a Ceasefire to Be Reached Between the U.S. and Iran? Investors are largely treating the Middle East conflict as a temporary shock, with most expecting a U.S.-Iran ceasefire before the end…
Fed Funds Rate
Fed Funds Rate Markets are now pricing in a meaningful chance of a Fed rate hike in 2026, something that looked very unlikely at the start of the year. Image: MarketDesk Research