U.S. CEO Confidence Index

U.S. CEO Confidence Index The sharp decline in U.S. CEO optimism in 2025 is largely attributed to new tariffs, trade policy uncertainty, inflation, and unpredictable government actions, reversing the post-election optimism. Image: J.P. Morgan

Mentions of AI During Earnings Calls

Mentions of AI During Earnings Calls Although many S&P 500 companies discuss AI during their earnings calls, suggesting a major technological shift, its adoption and impact have yet to become widespread across all major corporations.…

Bullish Percent Index vs. S&P 500 Index

Bullish Percent Index vs. S&P 500 Index The S&P 500’s rally has reversed extreme bearish sentiment, pushing the number of stocks on bullish buy signals toward 70% and confirming a significant, broad-based improvement in market…

Average S&P 500 Performance During Corrections

Average S&P 500 Performance During Corrections In bear markets, sharp rallies are common but rarely signal a true bottom, as the primary downtrend tends to reassert itself afterward. Many investors believe the direction of U.S.…

Bear Market Rallies

Bear Market Rallies Since 1980, global bear market rallies have averaged 44 days with 14% gains. Prices have already rebounded 18% from the April 7 low. For a sustained recovery, a stronger economic outlook and…

Proportion of S&P 500 Beating Earnings Estimate

Proportion of S&P 500 Beating Earnings Estimate The proportion of U.S. companies exceeding earnings estimates remained above the historical average in Q1 2025, reflecting ongoing earnings resilience. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

S&P 500 Consecutive Days of Gains

S&P 500 Consecutive Days of Gains Although there are valid reasons for caution, the U.S. stock rebound is driven by strong momentum. Historically, momentum-driven rallies tend to persist longer than expected, even during major macroeconomic…

Valuation – The Buffett Indicator

Valuation – The Buffett Indicator Although the Buffett Indicator has fallen from record highs, making U.S. stocks appear more attractive, it still sits well above its historical average and past market lows. Image: Bloomberg