Aggregate U.S. Dollar Position, Non-Commercial Traders Speculators are holding their most bearish positions on the U.S. dollar since September 2024, driven by global optimism, de-dollarization trends, and relative strength in other major currencies. Image: Bloomberg
Various S&P 500 Index 6-Month Returns While 1.8% may seem modest during the May-October period, it still represents a positive return. Even though this timeframe is weaker than the November–April period, the market has still…
S&P 500 8-Day Rolling % Returns Rolling 8-day returns for the S&P 500, combined with technical and sentiment indicators, suggest the index is likely to enter a period of consolidation in the near term. Image:…
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day With the S&P 500 up 2.92% this week, bulls are confident the market’s momentum will continue, while bears argue it’s just a bear market rally! Have a Great Weekend, Everyone!…
Trade Policy Uncertainty When trade policy uncertainty peaks, the S&P 500 often posts positive returns. Markets tend to over-discount risks during uncertain periods, and relief rallies are common once worst-case scenarios are avoided or resolved.…
S&P 500 Index Return During May The “sell in May and go away” adage is more myth than practical advice. Rather than trying to time the market, focusing on long-term goals is wiser-especially since May…
Price of Gold While gold remains in a long-term bull market, short-term pullbacks are normal following strong advances-especially as factors driving safe-haven demand begin to fade. Image: The Daily Shot
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day Despite a strong rally this week, the S&P 500 index ended April down 0.76%. No need to panic-this isn’t a call to “Make Bears Great Again!” unless you prefer market…
Probability of U.S. Recession As Priced Across Asset Classes The S&P 500 is pricing in about a 25% chance of a recession, which is lower than signals from copper prices or the yield curve, but…
Bitcoin Price Bitcoin is approaching $100,000, marking a strong recovery after its February 2025 peak. The rally is driven by robust inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs, renewed risk appetite among investors, and positive sentiment in…
S&P 500 – Magnificent 7/Other 493 and 200-Day Moving Average The frenzy surrounding the Magnificent Seven tech stocks has faded in 2025, but these firms remain key players and are broadly keeping pace with the…