Nasdaq 100 Index and 200-Day Moving Average The Nasdaq 100 keeps ripping higher, but its widening gap from the 200-day average is starting to blink red for a possible 5%–10% pullback. Image: Bloomberg

U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and U.S. Monetary Easing Fed rate cuts don’t always spell a softer dollar. When viewed as a push to steady the economy, they can fuel near-term demand for the greenback. Image:…

Valuation – Shiller P/E and U.S. 10-Year Yield Sure, U.S. equities are expensive, but inflation and debt worries make bonds no easy refuge either. The smart move now? Stay selective, not scared. Image: Goldman Sachs…

Returns – Average Year for the S&P 500 October 27 has a curious pull on markets — a date when U.S. stocks often find a floor before seasonal inflows spark a late‑year surge. Image: Carson…

Median Global Real Return in USD by Asset Class While the 60/40 portfolio can’t match stocks in full bull mode, its long-run performance comes surprisingly close — a reminder that bonds still ground both risk…

CTAs Exposure to Equities Over the past four weeks, CTAs have tactically reduced equity exposure — down from the 90th to 75th percentile — cashing in gains across markets. Even so, they’re still notably long,…

Equity Allocation as % of Household Financial Assets Equities dominate household portfolios in the U.S., Australia, and Sweden, but caution still rules in Europe and Japan, where cash and liquid assets remain king. Image: Goldman…

S&P 500 – Margin Debt Expansion vs. Contraction Margin debt is soaring to levels that make some investors uneasy, flirting with the “danger zone.” For now, momentum still points higher—but a reversal would be the…

S&P 500 Index and Deviation from 40-Week Moving Average The further the S&P 500 drifts from its 40-week moving average, the harder the reversion’s likely to be. It’s not a bear market call — just…

S&P 500 Index – Seasonal 3-Month Forward Return Historically, this is go-time for the S&P 500. If past trends hold, the next three months could deliver some of the index’s strongest cumulative gains. Image: Renaissance…

Buyback Aristocrats vs. Dividend Aristocrats Fueled by growth momentum and turbo‑charged buybacks, Buyback Aristocrats have left Dividend Aristocrats in the dust, as investors chase upside over income stability. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research