S&P 500 and Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index
S&P 500 and Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index Fed financial conditions continue to improve, which is historically bullish for U.S. equities. Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 and Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index Fed financial conditions continue to improve, which is historically bullish for U.S. equities. Image: BofA Global Research
Seasonality – S&P 500 1-Month & Percentage of Time Up If you “sell in May and go away”, you could miss a summer rally, as June-August is historically the second best 3-month period. Image: BofA…
Farrell Sentiment vs. S&P 500 The Farrell Sentiment is contrarian bullish, even after a 30%+ rally in the S&P 500. Image: BofA Global Research
Fed’s Credit Lending Facilities Only a fraction of Fed’s emergency lending facilities has been deployed so far. Image: Oxford Economics
G4 Unemployment Rate The G4 unemployment rate is expected to peak at 9% in 2020:Q4. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Corporate Bonds – Share of Market Value in Bloomberg Barclays USD IG (AAA, AA, A, BBB) Credit quality is deteriorating, as the amount of BBB-rated bonds, one step away from junk bonds, has doubled since…
Employment/Population Ratio Since 1948 in the U.S. The challenge of unemployment in the United States: about half of the population is jobless. Image: CNBC
Rolling 10-Year Annualized Real GDP Growth vs. Total Return for S&P 500 Index Chart suggesting that the U.S. stock market can ignore the economy for long periods of time. Image: Bloomberg
Growth in Gold Price and Central Bank Balance Sheets Chart suggesting that the growth of central bank balance sheets should drive gold prices higher. Image: BofA Global Research
Major U.S. Mutual Funds’ Net Exposure to U.S. Equities U.S. equity exposure of major U.S. mutual funds is in line with the historical average. Image: Nomura
U.S. Economy – Exports and Imports Annual Growth In May, US exports sank to 11-year low, and imports dropped as demand for goods slows. Image: Oxford Economics